Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth
Key numbers
- Possession 56% – 44%
- Shots 15 (5 on target) – 14 (6)
- Decisive moment: 45+1' Morgan Rogers, FN xPts +0.9
Morgan Rogers 45+1'
Moussa Diaby 57'
Leon Bailey 78'
Moussa Diaby 57'
Leon Bailey 78'
HT 1:1
Dominic Solanke 31' (pen)
Aston Villa 4th · 66 pts|Bournemouth 13th · 42 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.51–1.77).
Player of the matchLeon BaileyDecisive moment45+1' Morgan Rogers+0.9
Player of the match
Leon Bailey Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 33 min · level 43 min · Bournemouth ahead 14 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
31'
Dominic Solanke
Pen goal
+0.7
45+1'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Leon Bailey +0.3
+0.9
57'
Moussa Diaby
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ollie Watkins +0.2
+0.8
78'
Leon Bailey
Goal · assist Ollie Watkins
+0.2
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Bournemouth
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.6Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaBournemouth
56%Possession44%
2.51Expected goals (xG)1.77
0.17xG per shot0.13
15Shots14
5Shots on target6
33%Shots on target %43%
10Shots in box10
482Passes368
84%Pass accuracy83%
8Corners4
4Saves2
8Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
2Offsides3
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
49 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2.51 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.77 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 15 | 13.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 10.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 56% | 55.7% | |
| Passes | 482 | 487 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85.8% | |
| Corners | 8 | 6.3 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 10.9 |
Bournemouth
38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.77 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2.51 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 14 | 15 | |
| On target | 6 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 13.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 44% | 45.8% | |
| Passes | 368 | 393.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 76.6% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.7 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 13.1 |
Timeline
- 21' Yellow Adam Smith
- 31' Goal Dominic Solanke (pen) league goal #18
- 37' Yellow Marcos Senesi
- 45+1' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #2 assist Leon Bailey
- 46' Sub Adam Smith → Max Aarons
- 55' Yellow Illia Zabarnyi
- 57' Goal Moussa Diaby league goal #6 assist Ollie Watkins
- 63' Sub Marcos Senesi → Antoine Semenyo
- 76' Sub Ryan Christie → Alex Scott
- 76' Sub Justin Kluivert → Philip Billing
- 78' Goal Leon Bailey league goal #10 assist Ollie Watkins
- 82' Sub Dango Ouattara → Enes Ünal
- 87' Yellow Matty Cash
- 87' Sub Leon Bailey → Diego Carlos
- 90+3' Sub Moussa Diaby → Jhon Durán
- 90+5' Sub Matty Cash → Kaine Kesler-Hayden
Category leaders
- Key passesLeon Bailey6
- Duels wonYouri Tielemans7/9
- DribblesRyan Christie3/4
- Defensive actionsIllia Zabarnyi8
- ShotsOllie Watkins4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonEzri Konsa3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.