Everton 2-0 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 40% – 60%
- Shots 7 (4 on target) – 8 (3)
- Decisive moment: 29' Idrissa Gueye, FN xPts +0.8
Idrissa Gueye 29'
Dwight McNeil 76'
Dwight McNeil 76'
HT 1:0
Everton 15th → 14th · 38 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 30 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (0.34–0.95) but Everton took the win.
Player of the matchIdrissa GueyeDecisive moment29' Idrissa Gueye+0.8
Player of the match
Idrissa Gueye Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Everton ahead 61 min · level 29 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
29'
Idrissa Gueye
Goal
+0.8
76'
Dwight McNeil
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Abdoulaye Doucouré +0.1
+0.3
Everton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
EvertonNottingham Forest
40%Possession60%
0.34Expected goals (xG)0.95
0.05xG per shot0.12
7Shots8
4Shots on target3
57%Shots on target %38%
3Shots in box7
375Passes573
75%Pass accuracy83%
6Corners4
3Saves2
15Fouls9
4Yellow cards2
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
Everton
39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.34 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.95 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 7 | 13.5 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 13.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 40% | 41.3% | |
| Passes | 375 | 366.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 73.9% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 12.3 |
Nottingham Forest
last 11 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.95 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.34 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 8 | 13.6 | |
| On target | 3 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 13.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 60% | 40.5% | high |
| Passes | 573 | 372.8 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 79.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 12.3 |
Timeline
- 29' Goal Idrissa Gueye league goal #2
- 53' Sub Giovanni Reyna → Anthony Elanga
- 67' Sub André Gomes → James Garner
- 67' Sub Dominic Calvert-Lewin → Beto
- 74' Yellow Abdoulaye Doucouré
- 76' Goal Dwight McNeil league goal #3 assist Abdoulaye Doucouré
- 80' Yellow Jarrad Branthwaite
- 80' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Divock Origi
- 80' Sub Danilo → Rodrigo Ribeiro
- 80' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 81' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 82' Yellow Jack Harrison
- 90+10' Sub Beto → Youssef Chermiti
- 90+11' Yellow Murillo
- 90+16' Yellow Youssef Chermiti
Category leaders
- Key passesDwight McNeil2
- Duels wonOla Aina12/15
- DribblesJack Harrison2/5
- Defensive actionsIdrissa Gueye7
- Fouls wonOla Aina4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.