Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City
Key numbers
- Possession 33% – 67%
- Shots 14 (2 on target) – 11 (5)
- Decisive moment: 32' Joško Gvardiol, FN xPts +0.7
HT 0:1
Joško Gvardiol 32'
Erling Haaland 71'
Erling Haaland 71'
Nottingham Forest 17th · 30 pts|Manchester City 2nd · 79 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (1.93–0.87) but Manchester City took the win.
Player of the matchJoško GvardiolDecisive moment32' Joško Gvardiol+0.7
Player of the match
Joško Gvardiol Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 32 min · Manchester City ahead 58 min
- Erling Haaland — off the bench 28 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
32'
Joško Gvardiol
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Kevin De Bruyne +0.2
+0.7
71'
Erling Haaland
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Kevin De Bruyne +0.1
+0.3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.0Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestManchester City
33%Possession67%
1.93Expected goals (xG)0.87
0.14xG per shot0.08
14Shots11
2Shots on target5
14%Shots on target %45%
9Shots in box6
350Passes733
81%Pass accuracy91%
4Corners5
3Saves2
8Fouls6
0Yellow cards0
2Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
last 12 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.93 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.87 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 14 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 2 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 13.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 33% | 42.1% | |
| Passes | 350 | 389.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80.2% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 12 |
Manchester City
49 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.5 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.98 | |
| xG | 0.87 | 1.9 | |
| xG against | 1.93 | 0.78 | |
| Shots | 11 | 18.8 | |
| On target | 5 | 7.3 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 7.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 67% | 66.9% | |
| Passes | 733 | 707.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 90.5% | |
| Corners | 5 | 7.6 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 7.9 |
Timeline
- 32' Goal Joško Gvardiol league goal #2 assist Kevin De Bruyne
- 35' Sub Neco Williams → Gonzalo Montiel
- 46' Sub Jérémy Doku → Mateo Kovačić
- 46' Sub Ederson → Stefan Ortega
- 62' Sub Jack Grealish → Erling Haaland
- 71' Goal Erling Haaland league goal #21 assist Kevin De Bruyne
- 74' Sub Anthony Elanga → Giovanni Reyna
- 74' Sub Danilo → Ryan Yates
- 74' Sub Murillo → Andrew Omobamidele
- 84' Sub Willy Boly → Ibrahim Sangaré
- 89' Sub Kevin De Bruyne → Matheus Nunes
- 89' Sub Julián Álvarez → Oscar Bobb
Category leaders
- Key passesKevin De Bruyne3
- Duels wonWilly Boly10/16
- DribblesOla Aina4/4
- Defensive actionsWilly Boly12
- ShotsCallum Hudson-Odoi3 (on target 1)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.