VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 FSV Mainz 05
Key numbers
- Possession 64% – 36%
- Shots 13 (3 on target) – 12 (6)
- Decisive moment: 71' Sepp van den Berg, FN xPts +1.3
Kevin Paredes 18'
HT 1:1
Brajan Gruda 24'
Sepp van den Berg 71'
Jonathan Burkardt 85'
Sepp van den Berg 71'
Jonathan Burkardt 85'
VfL Wolfsburg · 37 pts|FSV Mainz 05 · 35 pts
FSV Mainz 05 won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.76–1.8).
Player of the matchBrajan GrudaDecisive moment71' Sepp van den Berg+1.3
Player of the match
Brajan Gruda Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)
Game state
VfL Wolfsburg ahead 6 min · level 65 min · FSV Mainz 05 ahead 19 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
18'
Kevin Paredes
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Jakub Kamiński +0.2
+0.7
24'
Brajan Gruda
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Nadiem Amiri +0.2
+0.6
71'
Sepp van den Berg
Goal
+1.3
85'
Jonathan Burkardt
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Brajan Gruda +0.1
+0.3
VfL Wolfsburg
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
FSV Mainz 05
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
VfL WolfsburgFSV Mainz 05
64%Possession36%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.8
0.06xG per shot0.15
13Shots12
3Shots on target6
23%Shots on target %50%
6Shots in box7
483Passes269
77%Pass accuracy64%
1Corners3
3Saves2
13Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
1Offsides3
Compared with usual
VfL Wolfsburg
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.76 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 1.8 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 13 | 12.4 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 12.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 64% | 47.8% | |
| Passes | 483 | 452.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 79.9% | |
| Corners | 1 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 12.3 |
FSV Mainz 05
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.8 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.76 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 12 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 11.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 36% | 46.8% | |
| Passes | 269 | 407.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 64% | 74.6% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 13.9 |
Timeline
- 12' Yellow Jae-sung Lee
- 18' Goal Kevin Paredes league goal #3 assist Jakub Kamiński
- 24' Goal Brajan Gruda league goal #4 assist Nadiem Amiri
- 46' Sub Kevin Paredes → Patrick Wimmer
- 51' Yellow Patrick Wimmer
- 54' Yellow Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 71' Yellow Lovro Majer
- 71' Goal Sepp van den Berg league goal #3
- 73' Sub Jae-sung Lee → Ludovic Ajorque
- 73' Sub Silvan Widmer → Anthony Caci
- 76' Sub Ridle Baku → Kevin Behrens
- 76' Sub Jonas Wind → Václav Černý
- 80' Sub Patrick Wimmer → Bennit Bröger
- 85' Goal Jonathan Burkardt league goal #8 assist Brajan Gruda
- 87' Sub Brajan Gruda → Tom Krauß
- 89' Yellow Dominik Kohr
- 90+4' Sub Jonathan Burkardt → Josuha Guilavogui
- 90+5' Sub Nadiem Amiri → Marco Richter
Category leaders
- Key passesNadiem Amiri4
- Duels wonSebastiaan Bornauw14/19
- DribblesBrajan Gruda3/4
- Defensive actionsLeandro Barreiro6
- ShotsMaximilian Arnold3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonKevin Paredes4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.