Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 69% – 31%
- Shots 14 (5 on target) – 5 (3)
- Decisive moment: 72' Callum Hudson-Odoi, FN xPts +1.3
HT 0:0
Callum Hudson-Odoi 72'
Liverpool 2nd · 9 pts|Nottingham Forest 10th → 3rd · 8 pts
Liverpool edged xG (0.94–0.44) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchÁlex MorenoDecisive moment72' Callum Hudson-Odoi+1.3
Player of the match
Álex Moreno Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.5 (Strong)
Game state
Liverpool ahead 0 min · level 72 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 18 min
- Callum Hudson-Odoi — off the bench 36 min · 1G 0A
- Anthony Elanga — off the bench 29 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
72'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.4
+1.3
Liverpool
Expected (last two seasons) 2.5Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −1.4→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
69%Possession31%
0.94Expected goals (xG)0.44
0.07xG per shot0.09
14Shots5
5Shots on target3
36%Shots on target %60%
10Shots in box3
604Passes273
84%Pass accuracy69%
7Corners2
2Saves5
15Fouls6
4Yellow cards4
0Offsides5
Compared with usual
Liverpool
3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg |
|---|
Nottingham Forest
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.75 | |
| xG | 0.44 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.94 | 0.53 | |
| Shots | 5 | 16.3 | |
| On target | 3 | 6 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 10.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 31% | 45.5% | |
| Passes | 273 | 393.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 81.5% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 14.8 |
Timeline
- 44' Yellow Álex Moreno
- 45+1' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 54' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 60' Sub Diogo Jota → Darwin Núñez
- 60' Sub Alexis Mac Allister → Conor Bradley
- 61' Sub Luis Díaz → Cody Gakpo
- 61' Sub Elliot Anderson → Anthony Elanga
- 62' Yellow Andrew Robertson
- 66' Yellow Matz Sels
- 72' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #1 assist Anthony Elanga
- 75' Sub Andrew Robertson → Konstantinos Tsimikas
- 75' Sub Ibrahima Konaté → Curtis Jones
- 80' Sub Álex Moreno → Neco Williams
- 81' Sub Chris Wood → Jota Silva
- 81' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Morato
- 83' Yellow Ryan Gravenberch
- 86' Yellow Dominik Szoboszlai
- 90+2' Yellow Anthony Elanga
- 90+4' Yellow Trent Alexander-Arnold
Category leaders
- Key passesTrent Alexander-Arnold4
- Duels wonVirgil van Dijk8/14
- DribblesRyan Gravenberch2/3
- Defensive actionsÁlex Moreno10
- ShotsMohamed Salah3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonRyan Yates3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.