Brighton 2-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 70% – 30%
- Shots 14 (3 on target) – 4 (3)
- Decisive moment: 42' Jack Hinshelwood, FN xPts +0.9
Jack Hinshelwood 42'
Danny Welbeck 45'
Danny Welbeck 45'
HT 2:1
Chris Wood 13' (pen)
Ramón Sosa 70'
Ramón Sosa 70'
Brighton 7th · 9 pts|Nottingham Forest 9th → 8th · 9 pts
2-2 draw, with xG at 1–1.42.
Player of the matchJack HinshelwoodDecisive moment42' Jack Hinshelwood+0.9
Player of the match
Jack Hinshelwood Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)
Game state
Brighton ahead 25 min · level 36 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 29 min
- Nottingham Forest: Red card 83' → ~7 min a player down
- Jota Silva — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
- Ramón Sosa — off the bench 31 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
13'
Chris Wood
Pen goal
+0.7
42'
Jack Hinshelwood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jan Paul van Hecke +0.3
+0.9
45'
Danny Welbeck
Goal
+0.8
70'
Ramón Sosa
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jota Silva +0.2
+0.8
83'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Red card
−0.1
Brighton
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −1.1→ League points won 1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BrightonNottingham Forest
70%Possession30%
1Expected goals (xG)1.42
0.07xG per shot0.36
14Shots4
3Shots on target3
21%Shots on target %75%
8Shots in box4
542Passes245
88%Pass accuracy69%
9Corners1
2Saves1
12Fouls11
3Yellow cards6
0Offsides4
Compared with usual
Brighton
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.67 | |
| xG | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.42 | 0.72 | |
| Shots | 14 | 16.2 | |
| On target | 3 | 6.2 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 9.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 70% | 56.8% | |
| Passes | 542 | 498.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 85% | |
| Corners | 9 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 9.8 |
Nottingham Forest
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.6 | |
| xG | 1.42 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1 | 0.61 | |
| Shots | 4 | 14 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 11.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.36 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 30% | 42.6% | |
| Passes | 245 | 369.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 79% | |
| Corners | 1 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 13 |
Timeline
- 13' Goal Chris Wood (pen) league goal #3
- 25' Yellow Carlos Baleba
- 39' Yellow Danny Welbeck
- 42' Goal Jack Hinshelwood league goal #1 assist Jan Paul van Hecke
- 44' Yellow Ola Aina
- 45' Goal Danny Welbeck league goal #3
- 46' Yellow Neco Williams
- 46' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jota Silva
- 46' Sub Álex Moreno → Neco Williams
- 46' Sub James Ward-Prowse → Ryan Yates
- 59' Sub Elliot Anderson → Ramón Sosa
- 60' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 62' Sub Simon Adingra → Yankuba Minteh
- 62' Sub Carlos Baleba → Mats Wieffer
- 64' Yellow Jota Silva
- 70' Goal Ramón Sosa league goal #1 assist Jota Silva
- 71' Sub Georginio Rutter → João Pedro
- 72' Sub Chris Wood → Morato
- 82' Sub Pervis Estupiñán → Evan Ferguson
- 83' Second yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 90+3' Yellow Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 90+4' Yellow Lewis Dunk
Category leaders
- Key passesPervis Estupiñán2
- Duels wonElliot Anderson8/9
- DribblesCallum Hudson-Odoi3/3
- Defensive actionsCarlos Baleba5
- ShotsGeorginio Rutter3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.