Chelsea 1-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 66% – 34%
- Shots 22 (8 on target) – 16 (9)
- Decisive moment: 49' Chris Wood, FN xPts +0.9
Noni Madueke 57'
HT 0:0
Chris Wood 49'
Chelsea 4th · 14 pts|Nottingham Forest 11th → 9th · 10 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 2.46–0.87.
Player of the matchNoni MaduekeDecisive moment49' Chris Wood+0.9
Player of the match
Noni Madueke Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 0 min · level 82 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 8 min
- Nottingham Forest: Red card 78' → ~12 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
49'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Nikola Milenković +0.3
+0.9
57'
Noni Madueke
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Cole Palmer +0.3
+0.9
78'
James Ward-Prowse
Red card
−0.2
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −1.3→ League points won 1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.0Time effect +0.5→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaNottingham Forest
66%Possession34%
2.46Expected goals (xG)0.87
0.11xG per shot0.05
22Shots16
8Shots on target9
36%Shots on target %56%
14Shots in box9
591Passes306
88%Pass accuracy76%
11Corners3
8Saves7
12Fouls11
6Yellow cards4
1Offsides3
Compared with usual
Chelsea
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 2.46 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.87 | 0.8 | |
| Shots | 22 | 14.6 | high |
| On target | 8 | 6.2 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 13.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 66% | 59.3% | |
| Passes | 591 | 557.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 87.2% | |
| Corners | 11 | 5.7 | high |
| Fouls | 12 | 9.9 |
Nottingham Forest
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.86 | |
| xG | 0.87 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 2.46 | 0.77 | |
| Shots | 16 | 12.1 | |
| On target | 9 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 22 | 12.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 34% | 40.6% | |
| Passes | 306 | 348.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 77.6% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 12.4 |
Timeline
- 21' Yellow Moisés Caicedo
- 36' Yellow James Ward-Prowse
- 49' Goal Chris Wood league goal #4 assist Nikola Milenković
- 57' Goal Noni Madueke league goal #4 assist Cole Palmer
- 66' Sub Elliot Anderson → Jota Silva
- 75' Yellow Cole Palmer
- 76' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Nicolás Domínguez
- 78' Second yellow James Ward-Prowse
- 81' Sub Enzo Fernández → João Félix
- 81' Sub Nicolas Jackson → Christopher Nkunku
- 82' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Morato
- 82' Sub Álex Moreno → Neco Williams
- 82' Sub Chris Wood → Anthony Elanga
- 89' Yellow Levi Colwill
- 89' Yellow Marc Cucurella
- 89' Yellow Neco Williams
- 90' Sub Noni Madueke → Pedro Neto
- 90' Sub Jadon Sancho → Mykhaylo Mudryk
- 90+3' Sub Levi Colwill → Tosin Adarabioyo
- 90+5' Yellow Matz Sels
- 90+8' Yellow Pedro Neto
- 90+12' Yellow Wesley Fofana
Category leaders
- Key passesCole Palmer6
- Duels wonWesley Fofana8/12
- DribblesNoni Madueke3/5
- Defensive actionsLevi Colwill4
- ShotsNoni Madueke6 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonCole Palmer3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.