Nottingham Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace
Key numbers
- Possession 50% – 50%
- Shots 20 (6 on target) – 20 (7)
- Decisive moment: 65' Chris Wood, FN xPts +1.2
Chris Wood 65'
HT 0:0
Nottingham Forest 12th → 8th · 13 pts|Crystal Palace 18th · 3 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.76–0.97).
Player of the matchMatz SelsDecisive moment65' Chris Wood+1.2
Player of the match
Matz Sels Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 25 min · level 65 min · Crystal Palace ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
65'
Chris Wood
Goal
+1.2
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.2Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestCrystal Palace
50%Possession50%
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.97
0.09xG per shot0.05
20Shots20
6Shots on target7
30%Shots on target %35%
10Shots in box11
441Passes448
82%Pass accuracy80%
6Corners6
7Saves5
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
2Offsides2
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.88 | |
| xG | 1.76 | 1 | |
| xG against | 0.97 | 0.98 | |
| Shots | 20 | 12.6 | |
| On target | 6 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 13.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 50% | 39.8% | |
| Passes | 441 | 343.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 77.4% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 12.3 |
Crystal Palace
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 0.97 | 0.91 | |
| xG against | 1.76 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 20 | 12.6 | |
| On target | 7 | 4.2 | high |
| Shots faced | 20 | 11.3 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 50% | 49.1% | |
| Passes | 448 | 472.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80.6% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 10.9 |
Timeline
- 6' Yellow Jefferson Lerma
- 42' Yellow Daichi Kamada
- 60' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 63' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jota Silva
- 65' Goal Chris Wood league goal #5
- 66' Sub Edward Nketiah → Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 68' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
- 74' Sub Tyrick Mitchell → Jeffrey Schlupp
- 74' Sub Will Hughes → Ismaïla Sarr
- 78' Sub Álex Moreno → Morato
- 78' Sub Elliot Anderson → Neco Williams
- 84' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Ramón Sosa
- 84' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 88' Sub Daichi Kamada → Asher Agbinone
- 90+5' Yellow Daniel Muñoz
Category leaders
- Key passesElliot Anderson5
- Duels wonElliot Anderson11/18
- DribblesElliot Anderson6/6
- Defensive actionsRyan Yates6
- ShotsEdward Nketiah4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonNicolás Domínguez3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.