Leicester 1-3 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 64% – 36%
- Shots 11 (1 on target) – 20 (5)
- Decisive moment: 47' Chris Wood, FN xPts +1.0
Jamie Vardy 23'
HT 1:1
Ryan Yates 16'
Chris Wood 47'
Chris Wood 60'
Chris Wood 47'
Chris Wood 60'
Leicester 14th · 9 pts|Nottingham Forest 8th → 5th · 16 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.76–1.73).
Player of the matchChris WoodDecisive moment47' Chris Wood+1.0
Player of the match
Chris Wood Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Leicester ahead 0 min · level 40 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 50 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
16'
Ryan Yates
Goal
+0.8
23'
Jamie Vardy
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Harry Winks +0.2
+0.8
47'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Elliot Anderson +0.3
+1.0
60'
Chris Wood
Goal
+0.5
Leicester
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −2.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.8Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LeicesterNottingham Forest
64%Possession36%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.73
0.07xG per shot0.09
11Shots20
1Shots on target5
9%Shots on target %25%
5Shots in box12
560Passes305
86%Pass accuracy76%
6Corners7
2Saves0
16Fouls9
5Yellow cards3
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
Leicester
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.76 | 0.83 | |
| xG against | 1.73 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 11 | 10.7 | |
| On target | 1 | 3.5 | low |
| Shots faced | 20 | 15.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 64% | 49.8% | |
| Passes | 560 | 454.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 81.7% | |
| Corners | 6 | 3.3 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10.3 | high |
Nottingham Forest
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 | high |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.78 | |
| xG | 1.73 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.76 | 0.98 | |
| Shots | 20 | 13.4 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 14.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 36% | 40.9% | |
| Passes | 305 | 354.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 77.9% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.9 |
Timeline
- 16' Goal Ryan Yates league goal #1
- 23' Goal Jamie Vardy league goal #4 assist Harry Winks
- 35' Yellow Ricardo Pereira
- 41' Yellow Álex Moreno
- 46' Yellow Stephy Mavididi
- 47' Goal Chris Wood league goal #6 assist Elliot Anderson
- 58' Yellow Harry Winks
- 60' Goal Chris Wood league goal #7
- 68' Sub Ricardo Pereira → Bilal El Khannouss
- 68' Sub Stephy Mavididi → Jordan Ayew
- 72' Sub Álex Moreno → Morato
- 72' Sub Elliot Anderson → Neco Williams
- 74' Sub Wilfred Ndidi → Boubakary Soumaré
- 76' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Ramón Sosa
- 76' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jota Silva
- 78' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
- 81' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 88' Yellow Jordan Ayew
- 90+3' Yellow Boubakary Soumaré
- 90+5' Yellow Nikola Milenković
Category leaders
- Key passesHarry Winks2
- Duels wonOla Aina10/15
- DribblesCallum Hudson-Odoi6/7
- Defensive actionsCaleb Okoli7
- Fouls wonOla Aina3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.