Nottingham Forest 3-0 West Ham
Key numbers
- Possession 53% – 47%
- Shots 19 (6 on target) – 4 (2)
- Decisive moment: 27' Chris Wood, FN xPts +0.7
Chris Wood 27'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 65'
Ola Aina 78'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 65'
Ola Aina 78'
HT 1:0
Nottingham Forest 7th → 3rd · 19 pts|West Ham 13th → 14th · 11 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.17–0.13).
Player of the matchOla AinaDecisive moment27' Chris Wood+0.7
Player of the match
Ola Aina Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 63 min · level 27 min · West Ham ahead 0 min
- West Ham: Red card 45+2' → ~45 min a player down
- Elliot Anderson — off the bench 27 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
27'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Álex Moreno +0.2
+0.7
45+2'
Edson Álvarez
Red card
−0.2
65'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · assist Elliot Anderson
+0.2
78'
Ola Aina
Goal
0.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.9Opponent moments +0.3Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
West Ham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments −0.2Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestWest Ham
53%Possession47%
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.13
0.11xG per shot0.03
19Shots4
6Shots on target2
32%Shots on target %50%
9Shots in box2
446Passes392
85%Pass accuracy79%
10Corners6
1Saves3
7Fouls9
1Yellow cards4
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.8 | |
| xG | 2.17 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.13 | 0.96 | |
| Shots | 19 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 6 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 13.8 | low |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 53% | 40.4% | |
| Passes | 446 | 349.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 77.7% | high |
| Corners | 10 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.6 |
West Ham
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 0.13 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2.17 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 4 | 14.5 | low |
| On target | 2 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 15.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.03 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 47% | 44.8% | |
| Passes | 392 | 398.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81.7% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 13.5 |
Timeline
- 18' Yellow Guido Rodríguez
- 27' Goal Chris Wood league goal #8 assist Álex Moreno
- 39' Yellow Edson Álvarez
- 45+2' Second yellow Edson Álvarez
- 46' Sub Crysencio Summerville → Michail Antonio
- 46' Sub Guido Rodríguez → Carlos Soler
- 63' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Elliot Anderson
- 63' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jota Silva
- 65' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #2 assist Elliot Anderson
- 77' Yellow Lucas Paquetá
- 78' Goal Ola Aina league goal #1
- 79' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 79' Sub Emerson Palmieri → Andy Irving
- 81' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 89' Sub Ola Aina → Eric da Silva Moreira
- 89' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Ramón Sosa
Category leaders
- Key passesCallum Hudson-Odoi4
- Duels wonMax Kilman8/8
- DribblesJarrod Bowen5/6
- Defensive actionsNicolás Domínguez6
- ShotsCallum Hudson-Odoi4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.