Nottingham Forest 1-3 Newcastle
Key numbers
- Possession 44% – 56%
- Shots 9 (3 on target) – 17 (6)
- Decisive moment: 72' Joelinton, FN xPts +1.2
Murillo 22'
HT 1:0
Alexander Isak 54'
Joelinton 72'
Harvey Barnes 83'
Joelinton 72'
Harvey Barnes 83'
Nottingham Forest 3rd · 19 pts|Newcastle 12th → 8th · 18 pts
Newcastle won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.63–1.7).
Player of the matchAlexander IsakDecisive moment72' Joelinton+1.2
Player of the match
Alexander Isak Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 32 min · level 40 min · Newcastle ahead 18 min
- Sandro Tonali — off the bench 21 min · 0G 1A
- Harvey Barnes — off the bench 10 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
22'
Murillo
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.2
+0.8
54'
Alexander Isak
Goal
+0.8
72'
Joelinton
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Alexander Isak +0.4
+1.2
83'
Harvey Barnes
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Sandro Tonali +0.1
+0.3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −2.1Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.7Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestNewcastle
44%Possession56%
0.63Expected goals (xG)1.7
0.07xG per shot0.1
9Shots17
3Shots on target6
33%Shots on target %35%
7Shots in box12
383Passes494
78%Pass accuracy86%
4Corners5
3Saves2
13Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0.73 | high |
| xG | 0.63 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.7 | 0.88 | |
| Shots | 9 | 14.5 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 12.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 44% | 41.5% | |
| Passes | 383 | 358.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 78.4% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11.2 |
Newcastle
13 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.1 | high |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.85 | |
| xG | 1.7 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.63 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 17 | 12.5 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.1 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 56% | 50.2% | |
| Passes | 494 | 448 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 80.6% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 11.2 |
Timeline
- 7' Yellow Dan Burn
- 22' Goal Murillo league goal #1 assist Anthony Elanga
- 54' Goal Alexander Isak league goal #4
- 59' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Jota Silva
- 59' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Elliot Anderson
- 65' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 69' Sub Joe Willock → Sandro Tonali
- 72' Goal Joelinton league goal #2 assist Alexander Isak
- 74' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ramón Sosa
- 80' Sub Anthony Gordon → Harvey Barnes
- 83' Goal Harvey Barnes league goal #4 assist Sandro Tonali
- 88' Sub Álex Moreno → James Ward-Prowse
- 88' Sub Anthony Elanga → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 90+8' Sub Alexander Isak → William Osula
Category leaders
- Key passesAnthony Elanga3
- Duels wonAnthony Elanga11/16
- DribblesAnthony Elanga2/3
- Defensive actionsÁlex Moreno8
- ShotsBruno Guimarães3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonBruno Guimarães4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.