Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 66% – 34%
- Shots 19 (7 on target) – 7 (0)
- Decisive moment: 15' Bukayo Saka, FN xPts +0.5
Bukayo Saka 15'
Thomas Partey 52'
Ethan Nwaneri 86'
Thomas Partey 52'
Ethan Nwaneri 86'
HT 1:0
Arsenal 4th · 22 pts|Nottingham Forest 5th → 6th · 19 pts
Arsenal won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.19–0.33).
Player of the matchBukayo SakaDecisive moment15' Bukayo Saka+0.5
Player of the match
Bukayo Saka Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)
Game state
Arsenal ahead 75 min · level 15 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
- Thomas Partey — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
- Ethan Nwaneri — off the bench 8 min · 1G 0A
- Raheem Sterling — off the bench 13 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
15'
Bukayo Saka
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Martin Ødegaard +0.2
+0.5
52'
Thomas Partey
Goal · assist Bukayo Saka
+0.2
86'
Ethan Nwaneri
Goal · assist Raheem Sterling
0.0
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +0.7Opponent moments 0.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ArsenalNottingham Forest
66%Possession34%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.33
0.06xG per shot0.05
19Shots7
7Shots on target0
37%Shots on target %0%
14Shots in box5
587Passes295
91%Pass accuracy81%
8Corners1
0Saves3
10Fouls11
3Yellow cards2
4Offsides2
Compared with usual
Arsenal
17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.82 | |
| xG | 1.19 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.33 | 0.91 | |
| Shots | 19 | 13.9 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 66% | 53.2% | |
| Passes | 587 | 464.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 84.3% | |
| Corners | 8 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.5 |
Nottingham Forest
12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0.92 | |
| xG | 0.33 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.19 | 0.95 | |
| Shots | 7 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 0 | 5 | low |
| Shots faced | 19 | 13.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 34% | 41.8% | |
| Passes | 295 | 360.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 78.3% | |
| Corners | 1 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.3 |
Timeline
- 15' Goal Bukayo Saka league goal #4 assist Martin Ødegaard
- 24' Yellow Jorginho
- 31' Yellow Gabriel Jesus
- 44' Yellow Bukayo Saka
- 45+5' Yellow Ola Aina
- 46' Sub Jorginho → Thomas Partey
- 46' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jota Silva
- 52' Goal Thomas Partey league goal #2 assist Bukayo Saka
- 63' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Chris Wood
- 63' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ramón Sosa
- 67' Sub Riccardo Calafiori → Oleksandr Zinchenko
- 69' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 72' Sub Álex Moreno → Neco Williams
- 82' Sub Martin Ødegaard → Ethan Nwaneri
- 83' Sub Bukayo Saka → Raheem Sterling
- 86' Goal Ethan Nwaneri league goal #1 assist Raheem Sterling
- 88' Sub Jurriën Timber → Jakub Kiwior
Category leaders
- Key passesMartin Ødegaard6
- Duels wonMikel Merino6/14
- DribblesMartin Ødegaard3/4
- Defensive actionsMikel Merino5
- ShotsBukayo Saka3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonLeandro Trossard3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.