Nottingham Forest 1-0 Ipswich
Key numbers
- Possession 45% – 55%
- Shots 12 (5 on target) – 7 (3)
- Decisive moment: 49' Chris Wood, FN xPts +0.9
Chris Wood 49' (pen)
HT 0:0
Nottingham Forest 7th → 6th · 22 pts|Ipswich 18th · 9 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.68–0.59).
Player of the matchOla AinaDecisive moment49' Chris Wood+0.9
Player of the match
Ola Aina Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 41 min · level 49 min · Ipswich ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
49'
Chris Wood
Pen goal
+0.9
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
Ipswich
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestIpswich
45%Possession55%
1.68Expected goals (xG)0.59
0.14xG per shot0.08
12Shots7
5Shots on target3
42%Shots on target %43%
8Shots in box5
310Passes387
77%Pass accuracy79%
8Corners7
2Saves4
5Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
13 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.68 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.59 | 0.97 | |
| Shots | 12 | 13.5 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 13.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 45% | 41.2% | |
| Passes | 310 | 355.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 78.5% | |
| Corners | 8 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 5 | 11.3 | low |
Ipswich
13 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 0.59 | 0.91 | |
| xG against | 1.68 | 2 | |
| Shots | 7 | 10.7 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 14.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 55% | 43.5% | |
| Passes | 387 | 380.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80.4% | |
| Corners | 7 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 12.3 |
Timeline
- 5' Yellow Axel Tuanzebe
- 30' Yellow Dara O'Shea
- 43' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 49' Goal Chris Wood (pen) league goal #9
- 51' Yellow Jens Cajuste
- 64' Sub Sammie Szmodics → Jack Clarke
- 71' Sub Elliot Anderson → Nicolás Domínguez
- 74' Sub Jens Cajuste → Jack Taylor
- 74' Sub Conor Chaplin → Wes Burns
- 77' Sub Neco Williams → Álex Moreno
- 78' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Morato
- 78' Sub Jota Silva → Anthony Elanga
- 79' Sub Axel Tuanzebe → Harry Clarke
- 79' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Nathan Broadhead
- 88' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Ramón Sosa
Category leaders
- Key passesElliot Anderson3
- Duels wonElliot Anderson9/13
- DribblesLeif Davis3/4
- Defensive actionsOla Aina7
- ShotsMorgan Gibbs-White3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.