Manchester United 2-3 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 71% – 29%
- Shots 17 (7 on target) – 11 (3)
- Decisive moment: 47' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +1.0
Rasmus Højlund 18'
Bruno Fernandes 61'
Bruno Fernandes 61'
HT 1:1
Nikola Milenković 2'
Morgan Gibbs-White 47'
Chris Wood 54'
Morgan Gibbs-White 47'
Chris Wood 54'
Manchester United 13th · 19 pts|Nottingham Forest 9th → 5th · 25 pts
Manchester United edged xG (1.6–0.83) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchMorgan Gibbs-WhiteDecisive moment47' Morgan Gibbs-White+1.0
Player of the match
Morgan Gibbs-White Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Manchester United ahead 0 min · level 31 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 59 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
2'
Nikola Milenković
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Elliot Anderson +0.2
+0.7
18'
Rasmus Højlund
Goal
+0.8
47'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Callum Hudson-Odoi +0.3
+1.0
54'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.2
+0.7
61'
Bruno Fernandes
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Amad Diallo +0.2
+0.5
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −1.3→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +1.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Manchester UnitedNottingham Forest
71%Possession29%
1.6Expected goals (xG)0.83
0.09xG per shot0.08
17Shots11
7Shots on target3
41%Shots on target %27%
10Shots in box8
601Passes242
88%Pass accuracy65%
5Corners3
0Saves5
10Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
Manchester United
21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.6 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.83 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 17 | 15.5 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.6 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 10.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 71% | 54.5% | |
| Passes | 601 | 532.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 85.8% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.5 |
Nottingham Forest
15 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 0.83 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.6 | 1 | |
| Shots | 11 | 13.3 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 13.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 29% | 40.9% | low |
| Passes | 242 | 347 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 65% | 78.5% | low |
| Corners | 3 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11.1 |
Timeline
- 2' Goal Nikola Milenković league goal #1 assist Elliot Anderson
- 18' Goal Rasmus Højlund league goal #2
- 31' Yellow Jota Silva
- 47' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #2 assist Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 54' Goal Chris Wood league goal #10 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 59' Sub Alejandro Garnacho → Marcus Rashford
- 61' Goal Bruno Fernandes league goal #3 assist Amad Diallo
- 65' Sub Matthijs de Ligt → Harry Maguire
- 66' Sub Leny Yoro → Noussair Mazraoui
- 68' Sub Jota Silva → Morato
- 76' Sub Manuel Ugarte → Joshua Zirkzee
- 76' Sub Bruno Fernandes → Mason Mount
- 79' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Nicolás Domínguez
- 79' Sub Chris Wood → Anthony Elanga
- 90' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 90+4' Yellow Neco Williams
Category leaders
- Key passesAmad Diallo2
- Duels wonRyan Yates9/16
- DribblesAmad Diallo3/5
- Defensive actionsElliot Anderson8
- ShotsDiogo Dalot3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonRyan Yates4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.