AC Milan 2-1 FK Crvena Zvezda
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 20 (10 on target) – 9 (4)
- Decisive moment: 87' Tammy Abraham, FN xPts +1.6
Rafael Leão 42'
Tammy Abraham 87'
Tammy Abraham 87'
HT 1:0
Nemanja Radonjić 67'
AC Milan 17th → 11th · 12 pts|FK Crvena Zvezda 31st · 3 pts
AC Milan won on the scoreboard and on xG (2–0.49).
Player of the matchRafael LeãoDecisive moment87' Tammy Abraham+1.6
Player of the match
Rafael Leão Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)
Game state
AC Milan ahead 28 min · level 62 min · FK Crvena Zvezda ahead 0 min
- Tammy Abraham — off the bench 61 min · 1G 0A
- Nemanja Radonjić — off the bench 30 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
42'
Rafael Leão
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Youssouf Fofana +0.2
+0.7
67'
Nemanja Radonjić
Goal
+0.7
87'
Tammy Abraham
Goal
+1.6
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.6→ League points won 3
FK Crvena Zvezda
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.5Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
AC MilanFK Crvena Zvezda
52%Possession48%
2Expected goals (xG)0.49
0.1xG per shot0.05
20Shots9
10Shots on target4
50%Shots on target %44%
14Shots in box3
419Passes374
88%Pass accuracy83%
6Corners4
3Saves8
17Fouls11
3Yellow cards2
1Offsides2
Compared with usual
AC Milan
20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 0.49 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 20 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 10 | 5.5 | high |
| Shots faced | 9 | 11.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 52% | 55.1% | |
| Passes | 419 | 501.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88.8% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 9.9 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3.4 | |
| xG | 0.49 | 0.87 | |
| xG against | 2 | 2.3 | |
| Shots | 9 | 9.2 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 17.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 48% | 38.4% | |
| Passes | 374 | 349 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 77.2% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.8 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 9.2 |
Timeline
- 28' Sub Ruben Loftus-Cheek → Samuel Chukwueze
- 29' Sub Álvaro Morata → Tammy Abraham
- 32' Yellow Yunus Musah
- 33' Yellow Rade Krunić
- 42' Goal Rafael Leão competition goal #2 assist Youssouf Fofana
- 45' Yellow Theo Hernández
- 46' Sub Milson → Mirko Ivanić
- 60' Sub Andrija Maksimović → Nemanja Radonjić
- 67' Goal Nemanja Radonjić
- 75' Sub Ognjen Mimović → Guélor Kanga
- 81' Yellow Nasser Djiga
- 83' Sub Davide Calabria → Emerson Royal
- 83' Sub Yunus Musah → Francesco Camarda
- 86' Sub Cherif Ndiaye → Bruno Duarte
- 87' Goal Tammy Abraham competition goal #2
Category leaders
- Key passesDavide Calabria3
- Duels wonTheo Hernández8/9
- DribblesRafael Leão3/6
- Defensive actionsTimi Max Elšnik10
- ShotsTammy Abraham4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonCherif Ndiaye5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.