Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City
Key numbers
- Possession 44% – 56%
- Shots 11 (6 on target) – 12 (6)
- Decisive moment: 16' Jhon Durán, FN xPts +0.7
Jhon Durán 16'
Morgan Rogers 65'
Morgan Rogers 65'
HT 1:0
Phil Foden 90+3'
Aston Villa 7th → 5th · 28 pts|Manchester City 5th → 6th · 27 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.67–1.03).
Player of the matchMorgan RogersDecisive moment16' Jhon Durán+0.7
Player of the match
Morgan Rogers Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 74 min · level 16 min · Manchester City ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
16'
Jhon Durán
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Morgan Rogers +0.2
+0.7
65'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist John McGinn +0.2
+0.6
90+3'
Phil Foden
Goal
+0.1
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −0.1Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaManchester City
44%Possession56%
1.67Expected goals (xG)1.03
0.15xG per shot0.09
11Shots12
6Shots on target6
55%Shots on target %50%
10Shots in box7
428Passes537
86%Pass accuracy92%
5Corners4
5Saves4
14Fouls7
3Yellow cards3
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.67 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.03 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 11 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 11.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 44% | 51.4% | |
| Passes | 428 | 448.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 85.6% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.6 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.4 |
Manchester City
24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.03 | 1.9 | |
| xG against | 1.67 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 12 | 18.5 | |
| On target | 6 | 6.4 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 8.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 56% | 65.3% | |
| Passes | 537 | 642.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 90.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 8.6 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 7.7 |
Timeline
- 16' Goal Jhon Durán league goal #7 assist Morgan Rogers
- 37' Yellow Matty Cash
- 45+2' Yellow Emiliano Martínez
- 46' Sub John Stones → Kyle Walker
- 47' Yellow Rico Lewis
- 65' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #5 assist John McGinn
- 73' Sub İlkay Gündoğan → Savinho
- 80' Sub Jhon Durán → Ollie Watkins
- 84' Yellow Joško Gvardiol
- 84' Sub Mateo Kovačić → Jérémy Doku
- 87' Yellow Jack Grealish
- 90+1' Sub Morgan Rogers → Emiliano Buendía
- 90+3' Goal Phil Foden league goal #1
- 90+4' Yellow John McGinn
Category leaders
- Key passesJohn McGinn4
- Duels wonMorgan Rogers8/12
- DribblesMorgan Rogers5/7
- Defensive actionsBoubacar Kamara6
- ShotsPhil Foden5 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonJack Grealish4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.