Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Rasmus Kristensen 75'
HT 0:2
Kauã Santos 15' (OG)
Paul Nebel 27'
Paul Nebel 58'
Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 14:30 (UK) · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Eintracht Frankfurt · 27 pts|FSV Mainz 05 · 25 pts

Eintracht Frankfurt edged xG (2.58–0.6) but FSV Mainz 05 took the win.

Player of the matchPaul Nebel8.6Decisive moment27' Paul Nebel+0.8

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 FSV Mainz 05

Key numbers

  • Possession 71% – 29%
  • Shots 34 (9 on target) – 9 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 27' Paul Nebel, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Paul Nebel 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-20-31-3
Eintracht Frankfurt ahead 0 min · level 15 min · FSV Mainz 05 ahead 75 min
  • FSV Mainz 05: Red card 21' → ~69 min a player down

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

15' Kauã Santos Own goal −0.7
21' Nadiem Amiri Red card −0.5
27' Paul Nebel Goal +0.8
58' Paul Nebel Goal +0.4
75' Rasmus Kristensen Goal · assist Nathaniel Brown +0.1
Eintracht Frankfurt Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments −0.6Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
FSV Mainz 05 Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.7Opponent moments +0.5Time effect +1.0→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Eintracht FrankfurtFSV Mainz 05
71%Possession29%
2.58Expected goals (xG)0.6
0.08xG per shot0.07
34Shots9
9Shots on target3
26%Shots on target %33%
23Shots in box5
550Passes245
85%Pass accuracy64%
17Corners2
2Saves7
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
1Offsides5

Compared with usual

Eintracht Frankfurt

23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals12.3
Conceded31.4
xG2.581.6
xG against0.61.4
Shots3413.7high
On target95.3
Shots faced916
xG per shot0.080.12
Possession71%50%high
Passes550465.1
Pass accuracy85%82.7%
Corners174.4high
Fouls1010.3

FSV Mainz 05

16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.8
Conceded11.5
xG0.61.3
xG against2.581.2
Shots912.8
On target35
Shots faced3413.6high
xG per shot0.070.11
Possession29%47.6%
Passes245421.9
Pass accuracy64%77.3%
Corners25.1
Fouls1013.8

Timeline

  • 11' Yellow Phillipp Mwene
  • 15' Goal Kauã Santos (OG)
  • 21' Red Nadiem Amiri
  • 27' Goal Paul Nebel league goal #4
  • 46' Sub Nnamdi Collins → Can Uzun
  • 46' Sub Ellyes Skhiri → Hugo Larsson
  • 58' Sub Armindo Sieb → Nikolas Veratschnig
  • 58' Goal Paul Nebel league goal #5
  • 60' Sub Farès Chaïbi → Ansgar Knauff
  • 61' Sub Hugo Ekitiké → Igor Matanović
  • 61' Sub Oscar Højlund → Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
  • 64' Yellow Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
  • 75' Goal Rasmus Kristensen league goal #1 assist Nathaniel Brown
  • 76' Sub Jae-sung Lee → Hyun-Seok Hong
  • 76' Sub Anthony Caci → Silvan Widmer
  • 85' Sub Stefan Bell → Moritz Jenz
  • 86' Sub Nikolas Veratschnig → Karim Onisiwo

Category leaders

  • Key passesNathaniel Brown6
  • Duels wonArthur Theate8/14
  • DribblesNnamdi Collins3/4
  • Defensive actionsDominik Kohr8
  • ShotsOmar Marmoush4 (on target 0)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.