Premier League · Matchweek 17
HT 0:1
Ola Aina 38'
Anthony Elanga 51'
Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 15:00 (UK) · Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
Brentford 11th → 12th · 23 pts|Nottingham Forest 4th → 3rd · 31 pts

Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.72–0.9).

Player of the matchChristian Nørgaard7.6Decisive moment38' Ola Aina+0.8

Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest

Key numbers

  • Possession 64% – 36%
  • Shots 7 (3 on target) – 10 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 38' Ola Aina, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Christian Nørgaard 7.6Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)

Game state

0-10-2
Brentford ahead 0 min · level 38 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 52 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

38' Ola Aina Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Neco Williams +0.2 +0.8
51' Anthony Elanga Goal +0.7
Brentford Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BrentfordNottingham Forest
64%Possession36%
0.72Expected goals (xG)0.9
0.1xG per shot0.09
7Shots10
3Shots on target6
43%Shots on target %60%
7Shots in box6
532Passes303
85%Pass accuracy78%
9Corners5
4Saves3
10Fouls14
3Yellow cards4
1Offsides3

Compared with usual

Brentford

20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.9
Conceded21.8
xG0.721.3
xG against0.91.4
Shots711.1
On target35
Shots faced1017.4
xG per shot0.10.11
Possession64%50.2%
Passes532447.6
Pass accuracy85%81.6%
Corners94.6
Fouls108.1

Nottingham Forest

17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.3
Conceded01.2
xG0.91.2
xG against0.721
Shots1013.4
On target64.5
Shots faced713.4
xG per shot0.090.1
Possession36%40.8%
Passes303348.2
Pass accuracy78%78.4%
Corners54.6
Fouls1411.3

Timeline

  • 27' Yellow Murillo
  • 38' Goal Ola Aina league goal #2 assist Neco Williams
  • 40' Yellow Ben Mee
  • 51' Goal Anthony Elanga league goal #2
  • 55' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
  • 57' Yellow Yoane Wissa
  • 64' Sub Anthony Elanga → Ryan Yates
  • 64' Sub Elliot Anderson → Nicolás Domínguez
  • 67' Sub Kristoffer Ajer → Mads Roerslev
  • 67' Sub Vitaly Janelt → Edmond-Paris Maghoma
  • 75' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Jota Silva
  • 79' Yellow Jota Silva
  • 81' Sub Kevin Schade → Fabio Carvalho
  • 84' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
  • 87' Yellow Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 90+2' Sub Neco Williams → Harry Toffolo
  • 90+2' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
  • 90+6' Sub Mads Roerslev → Yunus Konak

Category leaders

  • Key passesCallum Hudson-Odoi4
  • Duels wonChristian Nørgaard10/12
  • DribblesMikkel Damsgaard5/7
  • Defensive actionsMorgan Gibbs-White9
  • ShotsChris Wood3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonNeco Williams3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.