Serie A · Matchweek 17
1:2
Tete Morente 50'
HT 0:1
Valentín Castellanos 45+3' (pen)
Adam Marušić 87'
Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 19:45 (UK) · Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare, Lecce
Lecce 14th · 16 pts|Lazio 5th → 4th · 34 pts

Lazio won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.71–1.85).

Player of the matchMario Gila Fuentes7.9Decisive moment87' Adam Marušić+1.6

Lecce 1-2 Lazio

Key numbers

  • Possession 40% – 60%
  • Shots 11 (2 on target) – 13 (7)
  • Decisive moment: 87' Adam Marušić, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Mario Gila Fuentes 7.9Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-11-2
Lecce ahead 0 min · level 82 min · Lazio ahead 8 min
  • Lecce: Red card 45+1' → ~45 min a player down
  • Adam Marušić — off the bench 14 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

45+1' Frédéric Guilbert Red card −0.3
45+3' Valentín Castellanos Pen goal +0.7
50' Tete Morente Goal +0.5
87' Adam Marušić Goal +1.6
Lecce Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.4→ League points won 0
Lazio Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.4Time effect −0.8→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

LecceLazio
40%Possession60%
0.71Expected goals (xG)1.85
0.06xG per shot0.14
11Shots13
2Shots on target7
18%Shots on target %54%
5Shots in box8
355Passes523
77%Pass accuracy88%
6Corners6
4Saves1
13Fouls12
3Yellow cards1
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Lecce

18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.67
Conceded21.7
xG0.710.94
xG against1.851.4
Shots1112.7
On target24.1
Shots faced1314.3
xG per shot0.060.09
Possession40%43.1%
Passes355360.9
Pass accuracy77%80.6%
Corners63.9
Fouls1311.9

Lazio

23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22
Conceded11.2
xG1.851.7
xG against0.710.89
Shots1313.6
On target75.3
Shots faced119.8
xG per shot0.140.13
Possession60%53.2%
Passes523463.1
Pass accuracy88%85.7%
Corners65.3
Fouls1212.1

Timeline

  • 45+1' Red Frédéric Guilbert
  • 45+3' Goal Valentín Castellanos (pen) league goal #7
  • 50' Goal Tete Morente league goal #2
  • 60' Sub Hamza Rafia → Balthazar Pierret
  • 60' Sub Nikola Krstović → Ante Rebić
  • 64' Sub Boulaye Dia → Pedro
  • 69' Yellow Patrick Dorgu
  • 70' Sub Nuno Tavares → Luca Pellegrini
  • 70' Sub Gustav Isaksen → Loum Tchaouna
  • 71' Yellow Ante Rebić
  • 79' Sub Medon Berisha → Mohamed Kaba
  • 82' Yellow Loum Tchaouna
  • 83' Sub Mattia Zaccagni → Tijjani Noslin
  • 83' Sub Manuel Lazzari → Adam Marušić
  • 87' Goal Adam Marušić league goal #1
  • 90+2' Sub Gaby Jean → Nicola Sansone

Category leaders

  • Key passesNuno Tavares2
  • Duels wonAlessio Romagnoli8/10
  • DribblesNuno Tavares3/5
  • Defensive actionsManuel Lazzari8
  • ShotsValentín Castellanos4 (on target 4)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.