Nottingham Forest 1-0 Tottenham
Key numbers
- Possession 30% – 70%
- Shots 10 (3 on target) – 13 (4)
- Decisive moment: 28' Anthony Elanga, FN xPts +0.8
Anthony Elanga 28'
HT 1:0
Nottingham Forest 4th → 3rd · 34 pts|Tottenham 11th · 23 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.12–0.9).
Player of the matchNeco WilliamsDecisive moment28' Anthony Elanga+0.8
Player of the match
Neco Williams Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 62 min · level 28 min · Tottenham ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
28'
Anthony Elanga
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.2
+0.8
90+4'
Djed Spence
Red card
0.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.8Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3
Tottenham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestTottenham
30%Possession70%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.9
0.11xG per shot0.07
10Shots13
3Shots on target4
30%Shots on target %31%
7Shots in box7
261Passes620
73%Pass accuracy88%
2Corners7
4Saves2
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
4Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.12 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.9 | 1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 13 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 30% | 40.5% | |
| Passes | 261 | 345.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 78.4% | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.4 |
Tottenham
26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.9 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.12 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 13 | 14.3 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.9 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 14 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 70% | 56% | |
| Passes | 620 | 497.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 85.5% | |
| Corners | 7 | 7.2 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11.2 |
Timeline
- 10' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 28' Goal Anthony Elanga league goal #3 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 45' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 49' Yellow Radu Drăguşin
- 64' Sub Rodrigo Bentancur → Lucas Bergvall
- 64' Sub Pape Matar Sarr → James Maddison
- 65' Yellow Murillo
- 74' Sub Anthony Elanga → Morato
- 75' Yellow Djed Spence
- 77' Yellow James Maddison
- 81' Sub Heung-min Son → Timo Werner
- 81' Sub Destiny Udogie → Pedro Porro
- 82' Sub Elliot Anderson → James Ward-Prowse
- 82' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Jota Silva
- 87' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Ramón Sosa
- 87' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 87' Sub Radu Drăguşin → Yves Bissouma
- 90+4' Second yellow Djed Spence
Category leaders
- Key passesHeung-min Son3
- Duels wonNeco Williams8/13
- DribblesMurillo2/2
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams9
- ShotsAnthony Elanga3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonNeco Williams4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.