Everton 0-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 64% – 36%
- Shots 13 (2 on target) – 11 (7)
- Decisive moment: 15' Chris Wood, FN xPts +0.9
HT 0:1
Chris Wood 15'
Morgan Gibbs-White 61'
Morgan Gibbs-White 61'
Everton 15th → 16th · 17 pts|Nottingham Forest 4th → 2nd · 37 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.89–1.48).
Player of the matchChris WoodDecisive moment15' Chris Wood+0.9
Player of the match
Chris Wood Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Everton ahead 0 min · level 15 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 75 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
15'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.3
+0.9
61'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Chris Wood +0.2
+0.5
Everton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.4Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
EvertonNottingham Forest
64%Possession36%
0.89Expected goals (xG)1.48
0.07xG per shot0.13
13Shots11
2Shots on target7
15%Shots on target %64%
9Shots in box7
484Passes288
81%Pass accuracy68%
5Corners4
5Saves2
13Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
1Offsides2
Compared with usual
Everton
19 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 0.89 | 0.88 | |
| xG against | 1.48 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 13 | 11.8 | |
| On target | 2 | 3.6 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 64% | 38.8% | high |
| Passes | 484 | 341.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 78.4% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11.5 |
Nottingham Forest
19 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.48 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.89 | 1 | |
| Shots | 11 | 13.1 | |
| On target | 7 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 13 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 36% | 39.9% | |
| Passes | 288 | 341.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 68% | 78.1% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.5 |
Timeline
- 8' Yellow James Tarkowski
- 15' Goal Chris Wood league goal #11 assist Anthony Elanga
- 46' Sub Jack Harrison → Jesper Lindstrøm
- 47' Yellow Idrissa Gueye
- 54' Yellow Jarrad Branthwaite
- 61' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #3 assist Chris Wood
- 65' Yellow Jordan Pickford
- 68' Sub Idrissa Gueye → Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 68' Sub Ashley Young → Nathan Patterson
- 69' Sub Ramón Sosa → Willy Boly
- 70' Yellow Willy Boly
- 75' Sub Armando Broja → Beto
- 76' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Jota Silva
- 76' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 82' Sub Elliot Anderson → James Ward-Prowse
- 82' Sub Neco Williams → Harry Toffolo
Category leaders
- Key passesVitaliy Mykolenko3
- Duels wonJames Tarkowski12/16
- DribblesIliman Ndiaye4/8
- Defensive actionsNicolás Domínguez6
- ShotsArmando Broja3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonRamón Sosa3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.