Premier League · Matchweek 19
Ollie Watkins 36' (pen)
Morgan Rogers 47'
HT 1:1
Simon Adingra 12'
Tariq Lamptey 81'
Mon, 30 Dec 2024, 19:45 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 9th · 29 pts|Brighton 10th · 27 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 1.78–1.13.

Player of the matchLeon Bailey8.2Decisive moment81' Tariq Lamptey+0.9

Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton

Key numbers

  • Possession 60% – 40%
  • Shots 20 (4 on target) – 13 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 81' Tariq Lamptey, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Leon Bailey 8.2Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-12-12-2
Aston Villa ahead 34 min · level 32 min · Brighton ahead 24 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

12' Simon Adingra Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist João Pedro +0.2 +0.7
36' Ollie Watkins Pen goal +0.8
47' Morgan Rogers Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ollie Watkins +0.2 +0.8
81' Tariq Lamptey Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist João Pedro +0.3 +0.9
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1
Brighton Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaBrighton
60%Possession40%
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.13
0.09xG per shot0.09
20Shots13
4Shots on target4
20%Shots on target %31%
12Shots in box7
486Passes329
85%Pass accuracy80%
12Corners3
3Saves3
9Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
2Offsides0

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.5
Conceded21.3
xG1.781.4
xG against1.131.2
Shots2012.7
On target44.5
Shots faced1312.3
xG per shot0.090.11
Possession60%50.5%
Passes486442.3
Pass accuracy85%85.4%
Corners125.6
Fouls911.4

Brighton

21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.7
Conceded21.5
xG1.131.2
xG against1.781.3
Shots1315.1
On target45.4
Shots faced2011.5
xG per shot0.090.09
Possession40%53%
Passes329470.2low
Pass accuracy80%85.3%
Corners35.2
Fouls1411.3

Timeline

  • 12' Goal Simon Adingra league goal #2 assist João Pedro
  • 20' Sub Pau Torres → Tyrone Mings
  • 34' VAR Morgan Rogers
  • 36' Goal Ollie Watkins (pen) league goal #8
  • 38' Yellow Morgan Rogers
  • 45+3' Yellow Tyrone Mings
  • 45+7' Yellow Yasin Ayari
  • 47' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #6 assist Ollie Watkins
  • 58' Sub Brajan Gruda → Yankuba Minteh
  • 58' Sub Julio Enciso → Georginio Rutter
  • 58' Sub Simon Adingra → Kaoru Mitoma
  • 69' Sub Yasin Ayari → Matt O'Riley
  • 72' Yellow Carlos Baleba
  • 77' Sub Leon Bailey → Jacob Ramsey
  • 81' Goal Tariq Lamptey league goal #2 assist João Pedro
  • 83' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Amadou Onana
  • 83' Sub Youri Tielemans → Ross Barkley
  • 83' Sub Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
  • 86' Sub Carlos Baleba → Jakub Moder
  • 90+2' Yellow Igor Júlio

Category leaders

  • Key passesOllie Watkins4
  • Duels wonLeon Bailey13/16
  • DribblesLeon Bailey9/10
  • Defensive actionsCarlos Baleba8
  • ShotsOllie Watkins5 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonYouri Tielemans4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.