Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Key numbers
- Possession 60% – 40%
- Shots 20 (4 on target) – 13 (4)
- Decisive moment: 81' Tariq Lamptey, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Leon Bailey 8.2Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
0-11-12-12-2
Aston Villa ahead 34 min · level 32 min · Brighton ahead 24 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
12'
Simon Adingra
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist João Pedro +0.2
+0.7
36'
Ollie Watkins
Pen goal
+0.8
47'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ollie Watkins +0.2
+0.8
81'
Tariq Lamptey
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist João Pedro +0.3
+0.9
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1
Brighton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Aston VillaBrighton
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.13
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.78 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.13 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 20 | 12.7 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 12.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 60% | 50.5% | |
| Passes | 486 | 442.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85.4% | |
| Corners | 12 | 5.6 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.4 | |
Brighton
21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.13 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.78 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 13 | 15.1 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 40% | 53% | |
| Passes | 329 | 470.2 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 85.3% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.3 | |
Timeline
- 12'
Goal
Simon Adingra league goal #2 assist João Pedro
- 20'
Sub
Pau Torres → Tyrone Mings
- 34'
VAR
Morgan Rogers
- 36'
Goal
Ollie Watkins (pen) league goal #8
- 38'
Yellow
Morgan Rogers
- 45+3'
Yellow
Tyrone Mings
- 45+7'
Yellow
Yasin Ayari
- 47'
Goal
Morgan Rogers league goal #6 assist Ollie Watkins
- 58'
Sub
Brajan Gruda → Yankuba Minteh
- 58'
Sub
Julio Enciso → Georginio Rutter
- 58'
Sub
Simon Adingra → Kaoru Mitoma
- 69'
Sub
Yasin Ayari → Matt O'Riley
- 72'
Yellow
Carlos Baleba
- 77'
Sub
Leon Bailey → Jacob Ramsey
- 81'
Goal
Tariq Lamptey league goal #2 assist João Pedro
- 83'
Sub
Boubacar Kamara → Amadou Onana
- 83'
Sub
Youri Tielemans → Ross Barkley
- 83'
Sub
Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
- 86'
Sub
Carlos Baleba → Jakub Moder
- 90+2'
Yellow
Igor Júlio
Category leaders
- Key passesOllie Watkins4
- Duels wonLeon Bailey13/16
- DribblesLeon Bailey9/10
- Defensive actionsCarlos Baleba8
- ShotsOllie Watkins5 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonYouri Tielemans4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.