Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid
Key numbers
- Possession 38% – 62%
- Shots 8 (5 on target) – 17 (5)
- Decisive moment: 90+6' Jude Bellingham, FN xPts +1.8
Hugo Duro 27'
HT 1:0
Luka Modrić 85'
Jude Bellingham 90+6'
Jude Bellingham 90+6'
Valencia 19th · 12 pts|Real Madrid 2nd → 1st · 43 pts
Real Madrid won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.89–2.01).
Player of the matchJude BellinghamDecisive moment90+6' Jude Bellingham+1.8
Player of the match
Jude Bellingham Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)
Game state
Valencia ahead 58 min · level 32 min · Real Madrid ahead 0 min
- Real Madrid: Red card 79' → ~11 min a player down
- Luka Modrić — off the bench 10 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
27'
Hugo Duro
Goal
+0.9
55'
Jude Bellingham
Pen miss
−0.7
79'
Vinícius Júnior
Red card
−0.1
85'
Luka Modrić
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Jude Bellingham +0.3
+1.0
90+6'
Jude Bellingham
Goal
+1.8
Valencia
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ValenciaReal Madrid
38%Possession62%
0.89Expected goals (xG)2.01
0.11xG per shot0.12
8Shots17
5Shots on target5
63%Shots on target %29%
6Shots in box8
374Passes622
81%Pass accuracy89%
2Corners5
3Saves4
16Fouls9
2Yellow cards3
0Offsides4
Compared with usual
Valencia
last 4 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.75 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 0.89 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 2.01 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 8 | 12.5 | |
| On target | 5 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 7.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 38% | 61% | |
| Passes | 374 | 482.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 2 | 7 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 11.5 |
Real Madrid
24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.01 | 2 | |
| xG against | 0.89 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 17 | 15.5 | |
| On target | 5 | 6.5 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 62% | 57.6% | |
| Passes | 622 | 576.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 88.9% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 9.8 |
Timeline
- 27' Goal Hugo Duro league goal #5
- 36' Yellow Dani Ceballos
- 55' Pen miss Jude Bellingham
- 61' VAR Kylian Mbappé
- 67' Sub Diego López → Sergi Canós
- 68' Sub Javier Guerra → Hugo Guillamón
- 68' Sub Ferland Mendy → Eduardo Camavinga
- 68' Sub Rodrygo → Brahim Díaz
- 69' Yellow Sergi Canós
- 78' Yellow Stole Dimitrievski
- 78' Yellow Lucas Vázquez
- 78' VAR Vinícius Júnior
- 79' Red Vinícius Júnior
- 80' Sub Dani Ceballos → Luka Modrić
- 85' Goal Luka Modrić league goal #1 assist Jude Bellingham
- 87' Yellow Luka Modrić
- 88' Sub Yarek Gasiorowski → Jesús Vázquez
- 88' Sub André Almeida → Dani Gómez
- 90+6' Goal Jude Bellingham league goal #7
- 90+7' Sub Jude Bellingham → Raúl Asencio
Category leaders
- Key passesDiego López5
- Duels wonJude Bellingham13/20
- DribblesLuis Rioja4/4
- Defensive actionsDimitri Foulquier4
- ShotsFederico Valverde3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonJude Bellingham6
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.