Premier League · Matchweek 20
Ross Barkley 58'
Leon Bailey 76'
HT 0:0
Stephy Mavididi 63'
Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 15:00 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 9th → 6th · 32 pts|Leicester 19th · 14 pts

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.56–0.41).

Player of the matchRoss Barkley8.7Decisive moment76' Leon Bailey+1.1

Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester

Key numbers

  • Possession 61% – 39%
  • Shots 13 (5 on target) – 4 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 76' Leon Bailey, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Ross Barkley 8.7Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-1
Aston Villa ahead 19 min · level 71 min · Leicester ahead 0 min
  • Ian Maatsen — off the bench 14 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

58' Ross Barkley Goal +0.8
63' Stephy Mavididi Goal +0.6
76' Leon Bailey Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Ian Maatsen +0.3 +1.1
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Leicester Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.3Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaLeicester
61%Possession39%
1.56Expected goals (xG)0.41
0.12xG per shot0.1
13Shots4
5Shots on target2
38%Shots on target %50%
8Shots in box3
616Passes397
89%Pass accuracy84%
6Corners2
1Saves3
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.5
Conceded11.4
xG1.561.4
xG against0.411.2
Shots1313
On target54.4
Shots faced412.3
xG per shot0.120.11
Possession61%50.9%
Passes616443.9
Pass accuracy89%85.4%
Corners65.9
Fouls1011.3

Leicester

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.3
Conceded22.1
xG0.410.85
xG against1.561.7
Shots49.9
On target23.5
Shots faced1317
xG per shot0.10.1
Possession39%48.4%
Passes397451.1
Pass accuracy84%81.5%
Corners23.6
Fouls1110.4

Timeline

  • 19' Sub John McGinn → Jacob Ramsey
  • 58' Goal Ross Barkley league goal #3
  • 62' Sub Jannik Vestergaard → Wout Faes
  • 63' Goal Stephy Mavididi league goal #3
  • 76' Sub Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
  • 76' Sub Ross Barkley → Emiliano Buendía
  • 76' Goal Leon Bailey league goal #1 assist Ian Maatsen
  • 82' Sub Conor Coady → Caleb Okoli
  • 82' Sub Bilal El Khannouss → Patson Daka
  • 83' Sub Jordan Ayew → Facundo Buonanotte
  • 90' Sub Luke Thomas → Bobby Decordova-Reid
  • 90+5' Yellow Boubakary Soumaré

Category leaders

  • Key passesMatty Cash2
  • Duels wonMatty Cash11/16
  • DribblesRoss Barkley3/3
  • Defensive actionsMatty Cash7
  • Fouls wonJames Justin3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.