Premier League · Matchweek 20
HT 0:2
Morgan Gibbs-White 7'
Chris Wood 44'
Taiwo Awoniyi 90+4'
Mon, 6 Jan 2025, 20:00 (UK) · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Wolves 17th · 16 pts|Nottingham Forest 3rd · 40 pts

Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.59–2.13).

Player of the matchCallum Hudson-Odoi8.0Decisive moment7' Morgan Gibbs-White+0.7

Wolves 0-3 Nottingham Forest

Key numbers

  • Possession 61% – 39%
  • Shots 13 (6 on target) – 11 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 7' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Callum Hudson-Odoi 8.0Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-20-3
Wolves ahead 0 min · level 7 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 83 min
  • James Ward-Prowse — off the bench 8 min · 0G 1A
  • Taiwo Awoniyi — off the bench 8 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

7' Morgan Gibbs-White Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.2 +0.7
44' Chris Wood Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Callum Hudson-Odoi +0.2 +0.6
90+4' Taiwo Awoniyi Goal · assist James Ward-Prowse 0.0
Wolves Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

WolvesNottingham Forest
61%Possession39%
1.59Expected goals (xG)2.13
0.12xG per shot0.19
13Shots11
6Shots on target3
46%Shots on target %27%
9Shots in box8
549Passes361
85%Pass accuracy79%
5Corners3
0Saves5
10Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
1Offsides4

Compared with usual

Wolves

21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.7
Conceded32.1
xG1.590.94
xG against2.131.5
Shots1310.9
On target64.3
Shots faced1113.4
xG per shot0.120.1
Possession61%47.2%high
Passes549419.7high
Pass accuracy85%81%
Corners53.1
Fouls1012.9

Nottingham Forest

20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.4
Conceded01
xG2.131.2
xG against1.591
Shots1113
On target34.7
Shots faced1313
xG per shot0.190.1
Possession39%39.8%
Passes361338.6
Pass accuracy79%77.6%
Corners34.5
Fouls811.4

Timeline

  • 7' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #4 assist Anthony Elanga
  • 16' Yellow Elliot Anderson
  • 30' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
  • 44' Goal Chris Wood league goal #12 assist Callum Hudson-Odoi
  • 46' Yellow Tommy Doyle
  • 59' Sub Pedro Lima → Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
  • 59' Sub Tommy Doyle → Mario Lemina
  • 60' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Morato
  • 69' Sub Elliot Anderson → Jota Silva
  • 69' Sub Anthony Elanga → Ryan Yates
  • 75' Sub Hee-Chan Hwang → Carlos Forbs
  • 75' Sub Gonçalo Guedes → Pablo Sarabia
  • 88' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → James Ward-Prowse
  • 88' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
  • 90+4' Goal Taiwo Awoniyi league goal #1 assist James Ward-Prowse

Category leaders

  • Key passesAnthony Elanga4
  • Duels wonJoão Gomes7/13
  • DribblesRayan Aït Nouri2/3
  • Defensive actionsMurillo9
  • ShotsSantiago Bueno3 (on target 2)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.