Nottingham Forest 1-1 Liverpool
Key numbers
- Possession 29% – 71%
- Shots 6 (3 on target) – 23 (7)
- Decisive moment: 66' Diogo Jota, FN xPts +1.0
Chris Wood 8'
HT 1:0
Diogo Jota 66'
Nottingham Forest 3rd → 2nd · 41 pts|Liverpool 1st · 47 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 0.31–1.99.
Player of the matchAnthony ElangaDecisive moment66' Diogo Jota+1.0
Player of the match
Anthony Elanga Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.4 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 58 min · level 32 min · Liverpool ahead 0 min
- Konstantinos Tsimikas — off the bench 25 min · 0G 1A
- Diogo Jota — off the bench 24 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
8'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.2
+0.7
66'
Diogo Jota
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Konstantinos Tsimikas +0.3
+1.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.2Time effect +0.6→ League points won 1
Liverpool
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −1.2→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestLiverpool
29%Possession71%
0.31Expected goals (xG)1.99
0.05xG per shot0.09
6Shots23
3Shots on target7
50%Shots on target %30%
2Shots in box14
235Passes566
68%Pass accuracy85%
0Corners9
5Saves2
7Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
2Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.91 | |
| xG | 0.31 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.99 | 0.99 | |
| Shots | 6 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 23 | 12.8 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 29% | 40% | |
| Passes | 235 | 343.3 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 68% | 77.7% | |
| Corners | 0 | 4.5 | low |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.2 |
Liverpool
30 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.83 | |
| xG | 1.99 | 2 | |
| xG against | 0.31 | 0.76 | |
| Shots | 23 | 16.7 | |
| On target | 7 | 7.1 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 10.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 71% | 57.9% | |
| Passes | 566 | 542.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86.9% | |
| Corners | 9 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11 |
Timeline
- 8' Goal Chris Wood league goal #13 assist Anthony Elanga
- 42' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 53' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 65' Sub Andrew Robertson → Konstantinos Tsimikas
- 66' Sub Ibrahima Konaté → Diogo Jota
- 66' Goal Diogo Jota league goal #5 assist Konstantinos Tsimikas
- 70' Yellow Luis Díaz
- 75' Sub Luis Díaz → Curtis Jones
- 76' Sub Ryan Yates → Nicolás Domínguez
- 83' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Jota Silva
- 90' Sub Neco Williams → Álex Moreno
- 90' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 90' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Morato
Category leaders
- Key passesMohamed Salah4
- Duels wonElliot Anderson8/9
- DribblesElliot Anderson2/2
- Defensive actionsMurillo7
- ShotsMohamed Salah5 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonMorgan Gibbs-White3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.