Premier League · Matchweek 21
HT 0:0
Kaoru Mitoma 59'
Georginio Rutter 82'
Thu, 16 Jan 2025, 19:30 (UK) · Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
Ipswich 17th → 18th · 16 pts|Brighton 11th → 9th · 31 pts

Brighton won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.28–0.97).

Player of the matchPervis Estupiñán7.7Decisive moment59' Kaoru Mitoma+1.1

Ipswich 0-2 Brighton

Key numbers

  • Possession 46% – 54%
  • Shots 5 (3 on target) – 11 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 59' Kaoru Mitoma, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Pervis Estupiñán 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

0-10-2
Ipswich ahead 0 min · level 59 min · Brighton ahead 31 min
  • Georginio Rutter — off the bench 27 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

59' Kaoru Mitoma Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Matt O'Riley +0.3 +1.1
82' Georginio Rutter Goal +0.3
Ipswich Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Brighton Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.4Opponent moments 0.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

IpswichBrighton
46%Possession54%
0.28Expected goals (xG)0.97
0.06xG per shot0.09
5Shots11
3Shots on target5
60%Shots on target %45%
3Shots in box10
410Passes468
83%Pass accuracy85%
1Corners9
3Saves3
13Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Ipswich

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.1
Conceded21.7
xG0.280.88
xG against0.971.9
Shots510.4
On target33.4
Shots faced1114.2
xG per shot0.060.1
Possession46%43.4%
Passes410387.3
Pass accuracy83%79.8%
Corners14.6
Fouls1311.9

Brighton

24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.8
Conceded01.4
xG0.971.2
xG against0.281.3
Shots1115.1
On target55.4
Shots faced511.5
xG per shot0.090.09
Possession54%52.1%
Passes468463.5
Pass accuracy85%85.2%
Corners95
Fouls1411.7

Timeline

  • 49' Yellow Liam Delap
  • 54' Yellow João Pedro
  • 59' Goal Kaoru Mitoma league goal #4 assist Matt O'Riley
  • 62' Yellow Luke Woolfenden
  • 63' Sub Simon Adingra → Yankuba Minteh
  • 63' Sub Matt O'Riley → Georginio Rutter
  • 63' Sub Adam Webster → Lewis Dunk
  • 71' Sub Wes Burns → Jack Taylor
  • 71' Sub Jens Cajuste → Sam Morsy
  • 78' Sub João Pedro → Danny Welbeck
  • 82' Goal Georginio Rutter league goal #3
  • 84' Sub Liam Delap → George Hirst
  • 84' Sub Kalvin Phillips → Jack Clarke
  • 90+1' Yellow Joël Veltman
  • 90+4' Sub Yasin Ayari → Jakub Moder

Category leaders

  • Key passesMatt O'Riley2
  • Duels wonJoël Veltman10/14
  • DribblesWes Burns2/2
  • Defensive actionsJacob Greaves6
  • Fouls wonJoël Veltman5

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.