Nottingham Forest 3-2 Southampton
Key numbers
- Possession 45% – 55%
- Shots 14 (5 on target) – 10 (4)
- Decisive moment: 11' Elliot Anderson, FN xPts +0.7
Elliot Anderson 11'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 28'
Chris Wood 41'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 28'
Chris Wood 41'
HT 3:0
Jan Bednarek 60'
Paul Onuachu 90+1'
Paul Onuachu 90+1'
Nottingham Forest 3rd · 44 pts|Southampton 20th · 6 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.05–0.89).
Player of the matchChris WoodDecisive moment11' Elliot Anderson+0.7
Player of the match
Chris Wood Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 79 min · level 11 min · Southampton ahead 0 min
- Lesley Ugochukwu — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
- Paul Onuachu — off the bench 32 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
11'
Elliot Anderson
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.2
+0.7
28'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Chris Wood +0.1
+0.3
41'
Chris Wood
Goal · assist Ola Aina
+0.1
60'
Jan Bednarek
Goal · assist Lesley Ugochukwu
0.0
90+1'
Paul Onuachu
Goal · assist Mateus Fernandes
+0.1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.3Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Southampton
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestSouthampton
45%Possession55%
2.05Expected goals (xG)0.89
0.15xG per shot0.09
14Shots10
5Shots on target4
36%Shots on target %40%
9Shots in box8
386Passes475
82%Pass accuracy87%
2Corners8
1Saves1
4Fouls18
0Yellow cards4
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.91 | |
| xG | 2.05 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.89 | 1 | |
| Shots | 14 | 12.5 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 13.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 45% | 39.5% | |
| Passes | 386 | 338.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 77.3% | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 4 | 11 | low |
Southampton
26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2.1 | |
| xG | 0.89 | 0.83 | |
| xG against | 2.05 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 10 | 10 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.5 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 16.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 55% | 53.8% | |
| Passes | 475 | 516.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86.9% | |
| Corners | 8 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 18 | 11.4 |
Timeline
- 11' Goal Elliot Anderson league goal #1 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 28' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #3 assist Chris Wood
- 33' Yellow Flynn Downes
- 38' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Jota Silva
- 41' Goal Chris Wood league goal #14 assist Ola Aina
- 46' Sub Flynn Downes → Lesley Ugochukwu
- 57' Yellow Kyle Walker-Peters
- 57' Sub Yukinari Sugawara → Ryan Manning
- 58' Sub Cameron Archer → Kamaldeen Sulemana
- 58' Sub Adam Armstrong → Paul Onuachu
- 60' Goal Jan Bednarek league goal #1 assist Lesley Ugochukwu
- 66' VAR Nikola Milenković
- 74' Sub Anthony Elanga → Morato
- 83' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 83' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Ramón Sosa
- 83' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 86' Sub James Bree → Will Smallbone
- 90+1' Goal Paul Onuachu league goal #1 assist Mateus Fernandes
- 90+5' Yellow Joe Aribo
- 90+11' Yellow Lesley Ugochukwu
Category leaders
- Key passesMateus Fernandes3
- Duels wonMorgan Gibbs-White9/14
- DribblesLesley Ugochukwu3/3
- Defensive actionsMurillo6
- ShotsChris Wood4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonMorgan Gibbs-White5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.