Aston Villa 4-2 Celtic
Key numbers
- Possession 58% – 42%
- Shots 20 (8 on target) – 6 (4)
- Decisive moment: 60' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +0.9
Morgan Rogers 3'
Morgan Rogers 5'
Ollie Watkins 60'
Morgan Rogers 90+1'
Morgan Rogers 5'
Ollie Watkins 60'
Morgan Rogers 90+1'
HT 2:2
Adam Idah 36'
Adam Idah 38'
Adam Idah 38'
Aston Villa 9th → 4th · 16 pts|Celtic 18th · 12 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.79–0.82).
Player of the matchMorgan RogersDecisive moment60' Ollie Watkins+0.9
Player of the match
Morgan Rogers Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.9 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 65 min · level 25 min · Celtic ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
3'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Jacob Ramsey +0.2
+0.5
5'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Ollie Watkins +0.1
+0.3
36'
Adam Idah
Goal
+0.2
38'
Adam Idah
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Reo Hatate +0.2
+0.5
60'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jacob Ramsey +0.3
+0.9
67'
Ollie Watkins
Pen miss
−0.2
90+1'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · assist Ollie Watkins
+0.1
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.0Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Celtic
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.7Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaCeltic
58%Possession42%
3.79Expected goals (xG)0.82
0.19xG per shot0.14
20Shots6
8Shots on target4
40%Shots on target %67%
18Shots in box4
507Passes359
89%Pass accuracy87%
4Corners4
2Saves3
4Fouls15
0Yellow cards0
3Offsides2
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1.5 | high |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 3.79 | 1.3 | high |
| xG against | 0.82 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 20 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 8 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 12.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.19 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 58% | 51.1% | |
| Passes | 507 | 444.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 84.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.8 | |
| Fouls | 4 | 11.7 | low |
Celtic
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.82 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 3.79 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 6 | 10.9 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 42% | 55.9% | |
| Passes | 359 | 548.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.7 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 9.1 |
Timeline
- 3' Goal Morgan Rogers competition goal #1 assist Jacob Ramsey
- 5' Goal Morgan Rogers competition goal #2 assist Ollie Watkins
- 30' Sub Matty Cash → John McGinn
- 36' Goal Adam Idah competition goal #2
- 38' Goal Adam Idah competition goal #3 assist Reo Hatate
- 60' Goal Ollie Watkins competition goal #1 assist Jacob Ramsey
- 67' Pen miss Ollie Watkins
- 73' Sub Yang Hyun-Jun → Luis Palma
- 73' Sub Arne Engels → Paulo Bernardo
- 74' Sub Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
- 79' Sub Adam Idah → Daniel Cummings
- 82' Sub Reo Hatate → Luke McCowan
- 83' Sub Liam Scales → Dane Murray
- 90+1' Goal Morgan Rogers competition goal #3 assist Ollie Watkins
Category leaders
- Key passesJacob Ramsey5
- Duels wonArne Engels7/11
- DribblesLeon Bailey2/5
- Defensive actionsAlistair Johnston9
- ShotsMorgan Rogers6 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonYouri Tielemans3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.