Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 AC Milan
Key numbers
- Possession 43% – 57%
- Shots 12 (5 on target) – 14 (5)
- Decisive moment: 60' Marko Pjaca, FN xPts +0.9
Martin Baturina 19'
Marko Pjaca 60'
Marko Pjaca 60'
HT 1:0
Christian Pulisic 53'
Dinamo Zagreb 26th → 21st · 11 pts|AC Milan 6th · 15 pts
Dinamo Zagreb won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.19–1.11).
Player of the matchMartin BaturinaDecisive moment60' Marko Pjaca+0.9
Player of the match
Martin Baturina Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.9 (Dominant)
Game state
Dinamo Zagreb ahead 64 min · level 26 min · AC Milan ahead 0 min
- AC Milan: Red card 39' → ~51 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
19'
Martin Baturina
Goal
+0.7
39'
Yunus Musah
Red card
−0.4
53'
Christian Pulisic
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Fikayo Tomori +0.2
+0.7
60'
Marko Pjaca
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel +0.3
+0.9
Dinamo Zagreb
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.4Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Dinamo ZagrebAC Milan
43%Possession57%
1.19Expected goals (xG)1.11
0.1xG per shot0.08
12Shots14
5Shots on target5
42%Shots on target %36%
4Shots in box7
360Passes472
81%Pass accuracy85%
5Corners4
4Saves3
11Fouls16
3Yellow cards4
5Offsides0
Compared with usual
Dinamo Zagreb
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.6 | |
| xG | 1.19 | 0.81 | |
| xG against | 1.11 | 2.2 | |
| Shots | 12 | 9 | |
| On target | 5 | 2.7 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 15.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 43% | 36.7% | |
| Passes | 360 | 335.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 78.1% | |
| Corners | 5 | 2.9 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.4 |
AC Milan
29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.11 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.19 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 14 | 15.1 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.7 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 11.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 57% | 54.5% | |
| Passes | 472 | 483.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 88.3% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10.9 |
Timeline
- 19' Goal Martin Baturina
- 26' Yellow Christian Pulisic
- 31' Yellow Josip Mišić
- 31' Yellow Yunus Musah
- 34' Yellow Marko Pjaca
- 39' Yellow Mike Maignan
- 39' Second yellow Yunus Musah
- 46' Sub Matteo Gabbia → Filippo Terracciano
- 46' Sub Álvaro Morata → Samuel Chukwueze
- 53' Goal Christian Pulisic competition goal #4 assist Fikayo Tomori
- 60' Goal Marko Pjaca assist Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel
- 64' VAR Rafael Leão
- 70' Sub Arijan Ademi → Marko Rog
- 70' Sub Marko Pjaca → Stefan Ristovski
- 74' Sub Luka Stojković → Juan Córdoba
- 82' Sub Tijjani Reijnders → Tammy Abraham
- 82' Sub Rafael Leão → Noah Okafor
- 90+3' Sub Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel → Leon Jakirović
- 90+3' Sub Martin Baturina → Nathanaël Mbuku
- 90+4' Yellow Ivan Nevistić
Category leaders
- Key passesMartin Baturina4
- Duels wonMartin Baturina12/21
- DribblesMartin Baturina6/9
- Defensive actionsStrahinja Pavlović8
- Fouls wonMartin Baturina4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.