Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Jamal Musiala 19'
Harry Kane 45+3'
Harry Kane 46'
Serge Gnabry 54'
HT 2:0
Finn Porath 62'
Steven Skrzybski 90+1'
Steven Skrzybski 90+3'
Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 14:30 (UK) · Allianz Arena, München
Bayern München · 51 pts|Holstein Kiel · 12 pts

Bayern München won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.44–1.85).

Player of the matchJamal Musiala8.8Decisive moment19' Jamal Musiala+0.3

Bayern München 4-3 Holstein Kiel

Key numbers

  • Possession 71% – 29%
  • Shots 29 (12 on target) – 10 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 19' Jamal Musiala, FN xPts +0.3
Player of the match
Jamal Musiala 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

1-02-03-04-04-14-24-3
Bayern München ahead 71 min · level 19 min · Holstein Kiel ahead 0 min
  • Serge Gnabry — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
  • Steven Skrzybski — off the bench 29 min · 2G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

19' Jamal Musiala Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Michael Olise +0.1 +0.3
45+3' Harry Kane Goal · assist Kingsley Coman +0.2
46' Harry Kane Goal · assist Raphaël Guerreiro 0.0
54' Serge Gnabry Goal 0.0
62' Finn Porath Goal · assist Timo Becker 0.0
90+1' Steven Skrzybski Goal · assist Timo Becker 0.0
90+3' Steven Skrzybski Goal 0.0
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 2.6Own moments +0.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Holstein Kiel Expected (last two seasons) 0.3Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.3Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Bayern MünchenHolstein Kiel
71%Possession29%
3.44Expected goals (xG)1.85
0.12xG per shot0.19
29Shots10
12Shots on target6
41%Shots on target %60%
19Shots in box9
743Passes298
92%Pass accuracy81%
12Corners1
2Saves7
7Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
2Offsides0

Compared with usual

Bayern München

30 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals42.9
Conceded30.97
xG3.442.3
xG against1.850.64
Shots2920
On target128
Shots faced106.2
xG per shot0.120.11
Possession71%70.6%
Passes743732.5
Pass accuracy92%89.6%
Corners127.3
Fouls78.9

Holstein Kiel

21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.5
Conceded42.5
xG1.850.98high
xG against3.441.5high
Shots1011.4
On target64.5
Shots faced2916.1high
xG per shot0.190.09
Possession29%45%
Passes298382.6
Pass accuracy81%76.8%
Corners13.7
Fouls1012.5

Timeline

  • 19' Goal Jamal Musiala league goal #10 assist Michael Olise
  • 45+3' Goal Harry Kane league goal #18 assist Kingsley Coman
  • 46' Sub Michael Olise → Serge Gnabry
  • 46' Goal Harry Kane league goal #19 assist Raphaël Guerreiro
  • 54' Goal Serge Gnabry league goal #4
  • 58' Sub Kingsley Coman → Leroy Sané
  • 58' Sub Aleksandar Pavlović → João Palhinha
  • 58' Sub Harry Kane → Thomas Müller
  • 61' Sub Armin Gigović → Magnus Knudsen
  • 61' Sub Dominik Javorček → Steven Skrzybski
  • 62' Goal Finn Porath league goal #1 assist Timo Becker
  • 71' Sub Lasse Rosenboom → Jann-Fiete Arp
  • 78' Yellow Konrad Laimer
  • 81' Yellow David Zec
  • 82' Sub John Tolkin → Marko Ivezić
  • 83' Sub Phil Harres → Andu Yobel Kelati
  • 85' Sub Raphaël Guerreiro → Adam Aznou
  • 90+1' Goal Steven Skrzybski league goal #2 assist Timo Becker
  • 90+3' Goal Steven Skrzybski league goal #3

Category leaders

  • Key passesJoshua Kimmich5
  • Duels wonJamal Musiala8/10
  • DribblesJamal Musiala4/5
  • Defensive actionsLewis Holtby7
  • ShotsJamal Musiala4 (on target 3)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.