La Liga · Matchweek 22
Luis Rioja 44'
Javier Guerra 68'
HT 1:0
Pablo Durán 65'
Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 15:15 (UK) · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia 19th · 19 pts|Celta Vigo 13th · 25 pts

Valencia won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.47–0.46).

Player of the matchLuis Rioja8.8Decisive moment68' Javier Guerra+1.2

Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo

Key numbers

  • Possession 46% – 54%
  • Shots 8 (5 on target) – 3 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 68' Javier Guerra, FN xPts +1.2
Player of the match
Luis Rioja 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-1
Valencia ahead 43 min · level 47 min · Celta Vigo ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

44' Luis Rioja Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Javier Guerra +0.3 +0.9
65' Pablo Durán Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Sergio Carreira +0.2 +0.8
68' Javier Guerra Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Luis Rioja +0.4 +1.2
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −1.1Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Celta Vigo Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ValenciaCelta Vigo
46%Possession54%
1.47Expected goals (xG)0.46
0.18xG per shot0.15
8Shots3
5Shots on target2
63%Shots on target %67%
8Shots in box2
449Passes519
83%Pass accuracy82%
5Corners2
1Saves3
9Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
2Offsides2

Compared with usual

Valencia

last 10 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded11.5
xG1.471
xG against0.461.3
Shots810.2
On target53.4
Shots faced311.2
xG per shot0.180.11
Possession46%50.5%
Passes449428.7
Pass accuracy83%80.6%
Corners54.9
Fouls911.1

Celta Vigo

last 8 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.5
Conceded21.6
xG0.460.77
xG against1.470.64
Shots311.6
On target24.5
Shots faced89.9
xG per shot0.150.08
Possession54%51.6%
Passes519499.6
Pass accuracy82%82%
Corners24.8low
Fouls1712.9

Timeline

  • 44' Goal Luis Rioja league goal #5 assist Javier Guerra
  • 58' Sub Borja Iglesias → Alfon González
  • 58' Sub Fran Beltrán → Damián Rodríguez
  • 65' Goal Pablo Durán league goal #4 assist Sergio Carreira
  • 66' Sub Hugo Duro → Umar Sadiq
  • 67' Yellow Enzo Barrenechea
  • 67' Yellow Ilaix Moriba
  • 68' Goal Javier Guerra league goal #1 assist Luis Rioja
  • 70' Sub Williot Swedberg → Iker Losada
  • 70' Sub Franco Cervi → Anastasios Douvikas
  • 80' Sub Javier Guerra → Pepelu
  • 81' Sub Dimitri Foulquier → Mouctar Diakhaby
  • 83' Yellow Carl Starfelt
  • 87' Sub Diego López → Fran Pérez
  • 87' Sub Enzo Barrenechea → Hugo Guillamón
  • 87' Sub Carlos Domínguez → Fer López

Category leaders

  • Key passesLuis Rioja3
  • Duels wonCarl Starfelt9/14
  • DribblesLuis Rioja3/5
  • Defensive actionsCristhian Mosquera7
  • Fouls wonJavier Guerra5

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.