Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich
Key numbers
- Possession 76% – 24%
- Shots 25 (6 on target) – 4 (3)
- Decisive moment: 69' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +1.0
Ollie Watkins 69'
HT 0:0
Liam Delap 56'
Aston Villa 9th → 8th · 38 pts|Ipswich 19th → 18th · 17 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 2.42–0.37.
Player of the matchYouri TielemansDecisive moment69' Ollie Watkins+1.0
Player of the match
Youri Tielemans Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 0 min · level 77 min · Ipswich ahead 13 min
- Ipswich: Red card 40' → ~50 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
40'
Axel Tuanzebe
Red card
−0.3
56'
Liam Delap
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Omari Hutchinson +0.3
+0.9
69'
Ollie Watkins
Goal
+1.0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −1.6→ League points won 1
Ipswich
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.1Time effect +0.8→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaIpswich
76%Possession24%
2.42Expected goals (xG)0.37
0.1xG per shot0.09
25Shots4
6Shots on target3
24%Shots on target %75%
15Shots in box2
666Passes219
91%Pass accuracy73%
16Corners1
3Saves6
7Fouls11
0Yellow cards5
2Offsides3
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2.42 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.37 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 25 | 13 | high |
| On target | 6 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 11.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 76% | 51.8% | high |
| Passes | 666 | 449 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 85.2% | |
| Corners | 16 | 5.7 | high |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.5 |
Ipswich
27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 0.37 | 0.83 | |
| xG against | 2.42 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 4 | 10 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.6 | |
| Shots faced | 25 | 14.1 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 24% | 43.3% | |
| Passes | 219 | 390.1 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 80.3% | |
| Corners | 1 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.5 |
Timeline
- 16' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Tyrone Mings
- 17' Sub Julio Enciso → Jack Clarke
- 28' Yellow Axel Tuanzebe
- 40' Second yellow Axel Tuanzebe
- 46' Sub Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
- 46' Sub Jacob Ramsey → Marcus Rashford
- 46' Sub Jack Clarke → Luke Woolfenden
- 54' Yellow Jacob Greaves
- 56' Goal Liam Delap league goal #10 assist Omari Hutchinson
- 63' Sub Donyell Malen → Marco Asensio
- 68' Yellow Kalvin Phillips
- 69' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #11
- 80' Sub Jens Cajuste → Massimo Luongo
- 80' Sub Liam Delap → George Hirst
- 90+5' Yellow Omari Hutchinson
- 90+5' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Jack Taylor
Category leaders
- Key passesMorgan Rogers4
- Duels wonYouri Tielemans8/10
- DribblesYouri Tielemans3/3
- Defensive actionsConor Townsend9
- ShotsMorgan Rogers4 (on target 2)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.