Premier League · Matchweek 29
Youri Tielemans 38'
Ollie Watkins 45+3'
HT 2:1
Mohamed Salah 29'
Trent Alexander-Arnold 61'
Wed, 19 Feb 2025, 19:30 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 9th · 39 pts|Liverpool 1st · 61 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 0.67–2.5.

Player of the matchYouri Tielemans8.4Decisive moment45+3' Ollie Watkins+0.9

Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool

Key numbers

  • Possession 52% – 48%
  • Shots 9 (4 on target) – 17 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 45+3' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Youri Tielemans 8.4Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-12-12-2
Aston Villa ahead 16 min · level 65 min · Liverpool ahead 9 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

29' Mohamed Salah Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Diogo Jota +0.2 +0.8
38' Youri Tielemans Goal +0.7
45+3' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Lucas Digne +0.3 +0.9
61' Trent Alexander-Arnold Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Mohamed Salah +0.3 +0.9
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Liverpool Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaLiverpool
52%Possession48%
0.67Expected goals (xG)2.5
0.07xG per shot0.15
9Shots17
4Shots on target3
44%Shots on target %18%
5Shots in box14
449Passes407
84%Pass accuracy84%
6Corners8
1Saves1
8Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
3Offsides2

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

37 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.5
Conceded21.3
xG0.671.3
xG against2.51.1
Shots913.4
On target44.6
Shots faced1711.6
xG per shot0.070.1
Possession52%52.4%
Passes449454.9
Pass accuracy84%85.4%
Corners66
Fouls811.4

Liverpool

40 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.4
Conceded20.88
xG2.51.9
xG against0.670.75
Shots1716.9
On target36.9
Shots faced910
xG per shot0.150.12
Possession48%58.6%
Passes407542.7low
Pass accuracy84%86.5%
Corners86.1
Fouls611.1

Timeline

  • 23' Yellow Axel Disasi
  • 29' Goal Mohamed Salah league goal #24 assist Diogo Jota
  • 38' Goal Youri Tielemans league goal #2
  • 45+3' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #12 assist Lucas Digne
  • 61' Goal Trent Alexander-Arnold league goal #2 assist Mohamed Salah
  • 66' Sub Trent Alexander-Arnold → Conor Bradley
  • 66' Sub Diogo Jota → Darwin Núñez
  • 67' Sub Marco Asensio → Donyell Malen
  • 67' Sub Marcus Rashford → Jacob Ramsey
  • 67' Sub Andrés García → Matty Cash
  • 78' Sub Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
  • 80' Sub Alexis Mac Allister → Luis Díaz
  • 86' Sub John McGinn → Lamare Bogarde
  • 89' Sub Conor Bradley → Jarell Quansah

Category leaders

  • Key passesTrent Alexander-Arnold4
  • Duels wonAlexis Mac Allister10/17
  • DribblesMorgan Rogers4/7
  • Defensive actionsYouri Tielemans7
  • ShotsDiogo Jota5 (on target 0)
  • Fouls wonAlexis Mac Allister4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.