Newcastle 4-3 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 57% – 43%
- Shots 13 (5 on target) – 17 (5)
- Decisive moment: 23' Lewis Miley, FN xPts +0.7
Lewis Miley 23'
Jacob Murphy 25'
Alexander Isak 33' (pen)
Alexander Isak 34'
Jacob Murphy 25'
Alexander Isak 33' (pen)
Alexander Isak 34'
HT 4:1
Callum Hudson-Odoi 6'
Nikola Milenković 63'
Ryan Yates 90'
Nikola Milenković 63'
Ryan Yates 90'
Newcastle 8th → 5th · 44 pts|Nottingham Forest 3rd · 47 pts
Newcastle won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.91–1.79).
Player of the matchLewis HallDecisive moment23' Lewis Miley+0.7
Player of the match
Lewis Hall Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.9 (Dominant)
Game state
Newcastle ahead 65 min · level 8 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 17 min
- Ryan Yates — off the bench 14 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
6'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal
+0.6
23'
Lewis Miley
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Lewis Hall +0.2
+0.7
25'
Jacob Murphy
Goal
+0.6
33'
Alexander Isak
Pen goal
+0.3
34'
Alexander Isak
Goal · assist Joe Willock
+0.1
63'
Nikola Milenković
Goal · assist Chris Wood
0.0
90'
Ryan Yates
Goal
0.0
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
NewcastleNottingham Forest
57%Possession43%
2.91Expected goals (xG)1.79
0.22xG per shot0.11
13Shots17
5Shots on target5
38%Shots on target %29%
13Shots in box10
463Passes345
82%Pass accuracy73%
7Corners6
2Saves1
11Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
Newcastle
33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.91 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.79 | 0.96 | |
| Shots | 13 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.22 | 0.09 | high |
| Possession | 57% | 51.2% | |
| Passes | 463 | 456.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81.9% | |
| Corners | 7 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.3 |
Nottingham Forest
28 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.79 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 2.91 | 1 | high |
| Shots | 17 | 13.3 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 13.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 43% | 41.4% | |
| Passes | 345 | 358.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 78% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11 |
Timeline
- 6' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #4
- 23' Goal Lewis Miley league goal #1 assist Lewis Hall
- 25' Goal Jacob Murphy league goal #5
- 30' VAR Lewis Hall
- 33' Goal Alexander Isak (pen) league goal #18
- 34' Goal Alexander Isak league goal #19 assist Joe Willock
- 45+2' Yellow Nikola Milenković
- 52' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 55' Yellow Valentino Livramento
- 63' Goal Nikola Milenković league goal #3 assist Chris Wood
- 70' Sub Joe Willock → Sandro Tonali
- 70' Sub Jacob Murphy → Harvey Barnes
- 74' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
- 76' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 77' Sub Elliot Anderson → Ibrahim Sangaré
- 87' Sub Alexander Isak → Callum Wilson
- 90' Goal Ryan Yates league goal #2
- 90+2' Yellow Ryan Yates
Category leaders
- Key passesLewis Hall3
- Duels wonDan Burn11/13
- DribblesLewis Hall3/3
- Defensive actionsLewis Hall9
- Fouls wonAnthony Gordon4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.