Premier League · Matchweek 27
Sam Morsy 22' (OG)
Matthijs de Ligt 26'
Harry Maguire 47'
HT 2:2
Jaden Philogene-Bidace 4'
Jaden Philogene-Bidace 45+2'
Wed, 26 Feb 2025, 19:30 (UK) · Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United 15th → 14th · 33 pts|Ipswich 18th · 17 pts

Ipswich edged xG (0.72–1.43) but Manchester United took the win.

Player of the matchJaden Philogene-Bidace8.9Decisive moment47' Harry Maguire+1.0

Manchester United 3-2 Ipswich

Key numbers

  • Possession 45% – 55%
  • Shots 10 (6 on target) – 12 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 47' Harry Maguire, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Jaden Philogene-Bidace 8.9Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.9 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-12-12-23-2
Manchester United ahead 62 min · level 10 min · Ipswich ahead 18 min
  • Manchester United: Red card 43' → ~47 min a player down

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

4' Jaden Philogene-Bidace Goal +0.7
22' Sam Morsy Own goal −0.8
26' Matthijs de Ligt Goal +0.7
43' Patrick Dorgu Red card −0.3
45+2' Jaden Philogene-Bidace Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Axel Tuanzebe +0.2 +0.8
47' Harry Maguire Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.3 +1.0
Manchester United Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
Ipswich Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Manchester UnitedIpswich
45%Possession55%
0.72Expected goals (xG)1.43
0.07xG per shot0.12
10Shots12
6Shots on target3
60%Shots on target %25%
8Shots in box5
364Passes451
82%Pass accuracy86%
5Corners6
1Saves4
9Fouls16
4Yellow cards4
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

Manchester United

39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.6
Conceded21.4
xG0.721.4
xG against1.431.3
Shots1014.9
On target65.1
Shots faced1211.2
xG per shot0.070.09
Possession45%55.2%
Passes364525.9
Pass accuracy82%84.6%
Corners55.4
Fouls911.1

Ipswich

29 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded32
xG1.430.82
xG against0.721.8
Shots1210
On target33.6
Shots faced1014.3
xG per shot0.120.1
Possession55%42.5%
Passes451383
Pass accuracy86%80.1%
Corners64.2
Fouls1611.6

Timeline

  • 4' Goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace league goal #1
  • 22' Goal Sam Morsy (OG)
  • 26' Goal Matthijs de Ligt league goal #2
  • 35' Yellow Sam Morsy
  • 42' VAR Patrick Dorgu
  • 43' Red Patrick Dorgu
  • 45' Sub Alejandro Garnacho → Noussair Mazraoui
  • 45+2' Goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace league goal #2 assist Axel Tuanzebe
  • 45+4' Yellow Rasmus Højlund
  • 45+4' Yellow Dara O'Shea
  • 47' Goal Harry Maguire league goal #1 assist Bruno Fernandes
  • 61' Yellow Joshua Zirkzee
  • 66' Sub Sam Morsy → Jack Taylor
  • 66' Sub Omari Hutchinson → Nathan Broadhead
  • 67' Sub Rasmus Højlund → Casemiro
  • 80' Sub Leif Davis → George Hirst
  • 80' Sub Axel Tuanzebe → Ben Johnson
  • 85' Yellow Noussair Mazraoui
  • 85' Yellow Liam Delap
  • 90' Yellow Leny Yoro
  • 90+1' Sub Jens Cajuste → Sammie Szmodics
  • 90+3' Sub Leny Yoro → Victor Lindelöf
  • 90+3' Sub Joshua Zirkzee → Christian Eriksen
  • 90+7' Yellow Ben Johnson

Category leaders

  • Key passesBruno Fernandes4
  • Duels wonHarry Maguire9/10
  • DribblesDiogo Dalot3/5
  • Defensive actionsHarry Maguire6
  • ShotsJaden Philogene-Bidace4 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonManuel Ugarte4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.