Bologna 2-1 AC Milan
Key numbers
- Possession 57% – 43%
- Shots 14 (4 on target) – 8 (4)
- Decisive moment: 82' Dan Ndoye, FN xPts +1.5
Santiago Castro 48'
Dan Ndoye 82'
Dan Ndoye 82'
HT 0:1
Rafael Leão 43'
Bologna 8th → 6th · 44 pts|AC Milan 7th → 8th · 41 pts
Bologna won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.08–0.61).
Player of the matchDan NdoyeDecisive moment82' Dan Ndoye+1.5
Player of the match
Dan Ndoye Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Bologna ahead 8 min · level 77 min · AC Milan ahead 5 min
- Nicolò Cambiaghi — off the bench 10 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
43'
Rafael Leão
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Santiago Giménez +0.3
+1.0
48'
Santiago Castro
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Giovanni Fabbian +0.3
+0.9
82'
Dan Ndoye
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Nicolò Cambiaghi +0.5
+1.5
Bologna
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BolognaAC Milan
57%Possession43%
2.08Expected goals (xG)0.61
0.15xG per shot0.08
14Shots8
4Shots on target4
29%Shots on target %50%
9Shots in box7
450Passes335
81%Pass accuracy73%
4Corners5
3Saves2
13Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
2Offsides2
Compared with usual
Bologna
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 2.08 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.61 | 1 | |
| Shots | 14 | 13.4 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 9.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 57% | 55.6% | |
| Passes | 450 | 451.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 14.5 |
AC Milan
37 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 0.61 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 2.08 | 1 | |
| Shots | 8 | 15.3 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.7 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 11.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 43% | 55.1% | |
| Passes | 335 | 480.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 87.9% | low |
| Corners | 5 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 10.6 |
Timeline
- 43' Goal Rafael Leão league goal #6 assist Santiago Giménez
- 47' Yellow Theo Hernández
- 48' Goal Santiago Castro league goal #7 assist Giovanni Fabbian
- 53' Yellow Nicolò Casale
- 54' Yellow Malick Thiaw
- 61' Sub João Félix → Christian Pulisic
- 72' Sub Lewis Ferguson → Tommaso Pobega
- 73' Sub Giovanni Fabbian → Jens Odgaard
- 76' Sub Santiago Giménez → Luka Jović
- 79' Sub Santiago Castro → Thijs Dallinga
- 80' Sub Benjamín Domínguez → Nicolò Cambiaghi
- 82' Goal Dan Ndoye league goal #6 assist Nicolò Cambiaghi
- 84' Sub Lorenzo De Silvestri → Davide Calabria
- 84' Sub Álex Jiménez → Tammy Abraham
Category leaders
- Key passesLewis Ferguson3
- Duels wonDan Ndoye10/15
- DribblesDan Ndoye2/4
- Defensive actionsÁlex Jiménez10
- Fouls wonDan Ndoye5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.