AC Milan 1-2 Lazio
Key numbers
- Possession 61% – 39%
- Shots 15 (4 on target) – 21 (8)
- Decisive moment: 90+8' Pedro, FN xPts +1.9
Samuel Chukwueze 85'
HT 0:1
Mattia Zaccagni 28'
Pedro 90+8' (pen)
Pedro 90+8' (pen)
AC Milan 9th · 41 pts|Lazio 5th → 4th · 50 pts
Lazio won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.45–3.08).
Player of the matchMattia ZaccagniDecisive moment90+8' Pedro+1.9
Player of the match
Mattia Zaccagni Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
AC Milan ahead 0 min · level 33 min · Lazio ahead 57 min
- AC Milan: Red card 67' → ~23 min a player down
- Samuel Chukwueze — off the bench 20 min · 1G 0A
- Pedro — off the bench 11 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
28'
Mattia Zaccagni
Goal
+0.9
67'
Strahinja Pavlović
Red card
−0.2
85'
Samuel Chukwueze
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Rafael Leão +0.3
+1.0
90+8'
Pedro
Pen goal
+1.9
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Lazio
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
AC MilanLazio
61%Possession39%
1.45Expected goals (xG)3.08
0.1xG per shot0.15
15Shots21
4Shots on target8
27%Shots on target %38%
10Shots in box15
534Passes346
88%Pass accuracy84%
3Corners5
6Saves3
14Fouls6
2Yellow cards1
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
AC Milan
38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.45 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 3.08 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 15 | 15.1 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.6 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 11.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 61% | 54.8% | |
| Passes | 534 | 477 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 87.5% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 10.7 |
Lazio
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 3.08 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.45 | 0.98 | |
| Shots | 21 | 14 | |
| On target | 8 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 9.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 39% | 54.9% | |
| Passes | 346 | 484.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 86.4% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 11.7 |
Timeline
- 28' Goal Mattia Zaccagni league goal #8
- 37' Sub Yunus Musah → João Félix
- 46' Sub Álex Jiménez → Kyle Walker
- 46' Sub Adam Marušić → Manuel Lazzari
- 58' Sub Loum Tchaouna → Matías Vecino
- 67' Red Strahinja Pavlović
- 70' Sub Christian Pulisic → Samuel Chukwueze
- 70' Sub Youssouf Fofana → Malick Thiaw
- 76' Yellow Santiago Giménez
- 79' Sub Samuel Gigot → Patric
- 79' Sub Mattia Zaccagni → Pedro
- 80' Yellow Rafael Leão
- 83' Sub Matteo Gabbia → Luka Jović
- 85' Goal Samuel Chukwueze league goal #3 assist Rafael Leão
- 88' Sub Boulaye Dia → Tijjani Noslin
- 90+2' Yellow Matías Vecino
- 90+6' VAR Gustav Isaksen
- 90+8' Goal Pedro (pen) league goal #6
Category leaders
- Key passesRafael Leão6
- Duels wonMattia Zaccagni9/15
- DribblesNuno Tavares6/8
- Defensive actionsMario Gila Fuentes6
- ShotsGustav Isaksen5 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonMattia Zaccagni4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.