Premier League · Matchweek 28
HT 0:0
Ollie Watkins 49'
Sat, 8 Mar 2025, 17:30 (UK) · Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
Brentford 12th · 38 pts|Aston Villa 10th → 7th · 45 pts

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.83–1.32).

Player of the matchAxel Disasi7.6Decisive moment49' Ollie Watkins+0.9

Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 60% – 40%
  • Shots 13 (3 on target) – 12 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 49' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Axel Disasi 7.6Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)

Game state

0-1
Brentford ahead 0 min · level 49 min · Aston Villa ahead 41 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

49' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jacob Ramsey +0.3 +0.9
Brentford Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BrentfordAston Villa
60%Possession40%
0.83Expected goals (xG)1.32
0.06xG per shot0.11
13Shots12
3Shots on target4
23%Shots on target %33%
7Shots in box10
459Passes316
86%Pass accuracy76%
6Corners5
3Saves3
10Fouls5
2Yellow cards2
2Offsides3

Compared with usual

Brentford

32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.7
Conceded11.5
xG0.831.4
xG against1.321.3
Shots1311.6
On target34.9
Shots faced1216.6
xG per shot0.060.11
Possession60%50.5%
Passes459442.6
Pass accuracy86%81.5%
Corners64.9
Fouls108

Aston Villa

42 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.5
Conceded01.4
xG1.321.3
xG against0.831.2
Shots1213.2
On target44.7
Shots faced1311.8
xG per shot0.110.1
Possession40%52.9%
Passes316458.2
Pass accuracy76%85.6%
Corners56
Fouls511.3

Timeline

  • 42' Yellow John McGinn
  • 46' Sub Leon Bailey → Matty Cash
  • 49' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #13 assist Jacob Ramsey
  • 52' VAR Morgan Rogers
  • 61' Sub John McGinn → Boubacar Kamara
  • 67' Yellow Kristoffer Ajer
  • 68' Sub Jacob Ramsey → Marcus Rashford
  • 75' Sub Vitaly Janelt → Mathias Jensen
  • 81' Yellow Matty Cash
  • 90+3' Sub Kristoffer Ajer → Kim Ji-Soo
  • 90+4' Sub Morgan Rogers → Donyell Malen
  • 90+6' Yellow Nathan Collins

Category leaders

  • Key passesMikkel Damsgaard3
  • Duels wonAxel Disasi8/14
  • DribblesBryan Mbeumo2/5
  • Defensive actionsAxel Disasi6
  • ShotsOllie Watkins3 (on target 2)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.