Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Key numbers
- Possession 46% – 54%
- Shots 10 (5 on target) – 20 (6)
- Decisive moment: 30' Kylian Mbappé, FN xPts +0.6
Kylian Mbappé 30'
Vinícius Júnior 34'
Vinícius Júnior 34'
HT 2:1
Pedro Díaz 45+2'
Real Madrid 3rd → 2nd · 57 pts|Rayo Vallecano 7th · 36 pts
Real Madrid won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.6–1.02).
Player of the matchLuka ModrićDecisive moment30' Kylian Mbappé+0.6
Player of the match
Luka Modrić Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)
Game state
Real Madrid ahead 60 min · level 30 min · Rayo Vallecano ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
30'
Kylian Mbappé
Goal
+0.6
34'
Vinícius Júnior
Goal · assist Luka Modrić
+0.2
45+2'
Pedro Díaz
Goal · assist Álvaro García
+0.1
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −0.2Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Rayo Vallecano
Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −0.5Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
46%Possession54%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.02
0.16xG per shot0.05
10Shots20
5Shots on target6
50%Shots on target %30%
9Shots in box12
465Passes544
88%Pass accuracy90%
4Corners6
5Saves3
12Fouls17
3Yellow cards1
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
41 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.02 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 16.9 | |
| On target | 5 | 7.1 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 10.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 46% | 58.3% | |
| Passes | 465 | 594.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 89.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 9.7 |
Rayo Vallecano
last 18 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.02 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.6 | 0.94 | |
| Shots | 20 | 13.7 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 13 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 54% | 52.6% | |
| Passes | 544 | 438.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 79.9% | high |
| Corners | 6 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 14.2 |
Timeline
- 30' Goal Kylian Mbappé league goal #18
- 34' Goal Vinícius Júnior league goal #10 assist Luka Modrić
- 45+2' Goal Pedro Díaz league goal #1 assist Álvaro García
- 45+3' VAR Pedro Díaz
- 63' Yellow Gerard Gumbau
- 68' Sub Rodrygo → Federico Valverde
- 70' Sub Adrián Embarba → Óscar Valentín
- 70' Sub Pedro Díaz → Iván Balliu
- 70' Sub Gerard Gumbau → Óscar Trejo
- 79' Yellow Vinícius Júnior
- 79' Sub Kylian Mbappé → Eduardo Camavinga
- 85' Yellow Aurélien Tchouaméni
- 85' Sub Alfonso Espino → Sergi Guardiola
- 85' Sub Ismaila Ciss → Unai López
- 86' Sub Jude Bellingham → Brahim Díaz
- 90+2' Yellow Luka Modrić
Category leaders
- Key passesLuka Modrić4
- Duels wonJude Bellingham14/21
- DribblesVinícius Júnior4/5
- Defensive actionsJude Bellingham9
- ShotsKylian Mbappé4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonJude Bellingham4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.