La Liga · Matchweek 29
HT 0:1
Pathé Ismaël Ciss 2'
Pedro Díaz 58'
Sat, 29 Mar 2025, 17:30 (UK) · Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Alaves 17th · 27 pts|Rayo Vallecano 10th → 7th · 40 pts

Alaves edged xG (1.58–0.57) but Rayo Vallecano took the win.

Player of the matchAugusto Batalla7.7Decisive moment2' Pathé Ismaël Ciss+0.9

Alaves 0-2 Rayo Vallecano

Key numbers

  • Possession 56% – 44%
  • Shots 12 (4 on target) – 11 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 2' Pathé Ismaël Ciss, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Augusto Batalla 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

0-10-2
Alaves ahead 0 min · level 2 min · Rayo Vallecano ahead 88 min
  • Pedro Díaz — off the bench 36 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

2' Pathé Ismaël Ciss Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Unai López +0.3 +0.9
14' Joan Jordán Pen miss −0.7
58' Pedro Díaz Goal +0.5
Alaves Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments −0.7Opponent moments −1.2Time effect +0.3→ League points won 0
Rayo Vallecano Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.4Opponent moments +0.8Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

AlavesRayo Vallecano
56%Possession44%
1.58Expected goals (xG)0.57
0.13xG per shot0.05
12Shots11
4Shots on target5
33%Shots on target %45%
8Shots in box5
421Passes352
76%Pass accuracy68%
8Corners5
3Saves3
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards5
1Offsides3

Compared with usual

Alaves

last 13 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.2
Conceded21.3
xG1.581.3
xG against0.571.1
Shots129.6
On target43.5
Shots faced1110.2
xG per shot0.130.16
Possession56%47.2%
Passes421365.8
Pass accuracy76%74.4%
Corners84.2
Fouls1416.1

Rayo Vallecano

last 20 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.3
Conceded01.4
xG0.571.1
xG against1.580.95
Shots1113.9
On target54.8
Shots faced1212.6
xG per shot0.050.08
Possession44%52.8%
Passes352444.4
Pass accuracy68%80.4%
Corners54.6
Fouls1214.4

Timeline

  • 2' Goal Pathé Ismaël Ciss league goal #3 assist Unai López
  • 8' Yellow Pelayo Fernández
  • 14' Pen miss Joan Jordán
  • 16' Yellow Pau Cabanes De La Torre
  • 36' Yellow Randy Nteka
  • 46' Sub Pau Cabanes De La Torre → Carlos Vicente
  • 54' Sub Óscar Trejo → Pedro Díaz
  • 54' Sub Randy Nteka → Alfonso Espino
  • 58' Goal Pedro Díaz league goal #3
  • 59' Sub Carles Aleñá → Carlos Martín
  • 59' Sub Jon Guridi → Toni Martínez
  • 62' Yellow Augusto Batalla
  • 70' Sub Álvaro García → Adrián Embarba
  • 70' Sub Jorge de Frutos → Iván Balliu
  • 77' Yellow Santiago Mouriño
  • 78' Yellow Aridane Hernández
  • 78' Sub Joan Jordán → Tomás Conechny
  • 80' Yellow Nahuel Tenaglia
  • 85' Sub Unai López → Isi Palazón
  • 90' Sub Manuel Sánchez → Asier Villalibre

Category leaders

  • Key passesManuel Sánchez2
  • Duels wonKike García13/20
  • DribblesNahuel Tenaglia4/4
  • Defensive actionsManuel Sánchez10
  • ShotsKike García3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonKike García4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.