Premier League · Matchweek 30
Jørgen Strand Larsen 21'
HT 1:0
Tue, 1 Apr 2025, 19:45 (UK) · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Wolves 17th · 29 pts|West Ham 16th · 34 pts

West Ham edged xG (1.18–1.34) but Wolves took the win.

Player of the matchJørgen Strand Larsen7.6Decisive moment21' Jørgen Strand Larsen+0.7

Wolves 1-0 West Ham

Key numbers

  • Possession 41% – 59%
  • Shots 9 (2 on target) – 10 (1)
  • Decisive moment: 21' Jørgen Strand Larsen, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Jørgen Strand Larsen 7.6Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)

Game state

1-0
Wolves ahead 69 min · level 21 min · West Ham ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

21' Jørgen Strand Larsen Goal +0.7
Wolves Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.7Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
West Ham Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

WolvesWest Ham
41%Possession59%
1.18Expected goals (xG)1.34
0.13xG per shot0.13
9Shots10
2Shots on target1
22%Shots on target %10%
4Shots in box8
406Passes572
81%Pass accuracy85%
1Corners2
1Saves1
16Fouls12
4Yellow cards2
1Offsides0

Compared with usual

Wolves

34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.4
Conceded01.9
xG1.180.94
xG against1.341.4
Shots911.2
On target24.5
Shots faced1013.1
xG per shot0.130.09
Possession41%47.6%
Passes406426.9
Pass accuracy81%81.4%
Corners13.4
Fouls1612.8

West Ham

32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.1
Conceded11.8
xG1.341.2
xG against1.181.5
Shots1012.9
On target13.8
Shots faced916.1
xG per shot0.130.09
Possession59%46.7%
Passes572421.8
Pass accuracy85%81.3%
Corners24.3
Fouls1211.3

Timeline

  • 21' Goal Jørgen Strand Larsen league goal #10
  • 28' Yellow André
  • 31' Yellow José Sá
  • 31' Yellow Konstantinos Mavropanos
  • 46' Sub Aaron Cresswell → Carlos Soler
  • 46' Sub Evan Ferguson → Edson Álvarez
  • 46' Sub Luis Guilherme → Niclas Füllkrug
  • 71' Sub André → Pablo Sarabia
  • 73' Yellow Niclas Füllkrug
  • 77' Sub Oliver Scarles → Emerson Palmieri
  • 77' Sub James Ward-Prowse → Tomáš Souček
  • 80' Yellow João Gomes
  • 82' Sub Rayan Aït Nouri → Santiago Bueno
  • 88' Yellow Matt Doherty
  • 90' Sub Jean-Ricner Bellegarde → Boubacar Traoré

Category leaders

  • Key passesRayan Aït Nouri3
  • Duels wonLucas Paquetá14/23
  • DribblesMatt Doherty2/2
  • Defensive actionsAaron Wan-Bissaka9
  • Fouls wonNélson Semedo3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.