Ipswich 1-2 Wolves
Key numbers
- Possession 44% – 56%
- Shots 6 (2 on target) – 22 (7)
- Decisive moment: 84' Jørgen Strand Larsen, FN xPts +1.4
Liam Delap 16'
HT 1:0
Pablo Sarabia 72'
Jørgen Strand Larsen 84'
Jørgen Strand Larsen 84'
Ipswich 18th · 20 pts|Wolves 17th · 32 pts
Wolves won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.8–2.71).
Player of the matchPablo SarabiaDecisive moment84' Jørgen Strand Larsen+1.4
Player of the match
Pablo Sarabia Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Ipswich ahead 56 min · level 28 min · Wolves ahead 6 min
- Pablo Sarabia — off the bench 25 min · 1G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
16'
Liam Delap
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Dara O'Shea +0.2
+0.7
72'
Pablo Sarabia
Goal
+0.9
84'
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Pablo Sarabia +0.4
+1.4
Ipswich
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −2.1Time effect +0.3→ League points won 0
Wolves
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
IpswichWolves
44%Possession56%
0.8Expected goals (xG)2.71
0.13xG per shot0.12
6Shots22
2Shots on target7
33%Shots on target %32%
5Shots in box19
323Passes407
76%Pass accuracy82%
4Corners8
4Saves1
12Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Ipswich
34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| xG | 0.8 | 0.83 | |
| xG against | 2.71 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 6 | 10.3 | |
| On target | 2 | 3.7 | |
| Shots faced | 22 | 14.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 44% | 43.3% | |
| Passes | 323 | 386.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 79.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.2 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.4 |
Wolves
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 2.71 | 0.95 | high |
| xG against | 0.8 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 22 | 11.1 | high |
| On target | 7 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 13.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 56% | 47.4% | |
| Passes | 407 | 426.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81.3% | |
| Corners | 8 | 3.3 | high |
| Fouls | 16 | 12.9 |
Timeline
- 16' Goal Liam Delap league goal #12 assist Dara O'Shea
- 38' Yellow Alex Palmer
- 65' Sub Nathan Broadhead → Jack Taylor
- 65' Sub Matt Doherty → Rodrigo Gomes
- 65' Sub Jean-Ricner Bellegarde → Pablo Sarabia
- 71' Yellow André
- 72' Goal Pablo Sarabia league goal #2
- 81' Sub Conor Townsend → Leif Davis
- 81' Sub Jens Cajuste → Conor Chaplin
- 81' Sub Axel Tuanzebe → Jaden Philogene-Bidace
- 81' Sub Liam Delap → George Hirst
- 84' Goal Jørgen Strand Larsen league goal #11 assist Pablo Sarabia
- 87' Yellow Jørgen Strand Larsen
- 88' Sub Rayan Aït Nouri → Santiago Bueno
- 90' Yellow Julio Enciso
- 90+6' Sub Jørgen Strand Larsen → Nasser Djiga
Category leaders
- Key passesRayan Aït Nouri5
- Duels wonRayan Aït Nouri8/11
- DribblesJulio Enciso2/4
- Defensive actionsDara O'Shea4
- ShotsToti Gomes3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonConor Townsend3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.