Real Madrid 1-2 Valencia
Key numbers
- Possession 65% – 35%
- Shots 21 (9 on target) – 10 (2)
- Decisive moment: 90+5' Hugo Duro, FN xPts +1.8
Vinícius Júnior 50'
HT 0:1
Mouctar Diakhaby 15'
Hugo Duro 90+5'
Hugo Duro 90+5'
Real Madrid 2nd · 63 pts|Valencia 16th → 15th · 34 pts
Real Madrid edged xG (3.47–0.78) but Valencia took the win.
Player of the matchGiorgi MamardashviliDecisive moment90+5' Hugo Duro+1.8
Player of the match
Giorgi Mamardashvili Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)
Game state
Real Madrid ahead 0 min · level 55 min · Valencia ahead 35 min
- Rafa Mir — off the bench 31 min · 0G 1A
- Hugo Duro — off the bench 16 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
13'
Vinícius Júnior
Pen miss
−0.3
15'
Mouctar Diakhaby
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist André Almeida +0.2
+0.6
50'
Vinícius Júnior
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jude Bellingham +0.3
+0.9
90+5'
Hugo Duro
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Rafa Mir +0.5
+1.8
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −1.3→ League points won 0
Valencia
Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Real MadridValencia
65%Possession35%
3.47Expected goals (xG)0.78
0.17xG per shot0.08
21Shots10
9Shots on target2
43%Shots on target %20%
15Shots in box6
621Passes340
91%Pass accuracy77%
9Corners4
0Saves8
10Fouls13
0Yellow cards4
6Offsides1
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
46 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 3.47 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.78 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 21 | 16.7 | |
| On target | 9 | 7 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 11.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 65% | 58.3% | |
| Passes | 621 | 599.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 89.7% | |
| Corners | 9 | 6.2 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 9.6 |
Valencia
last 19 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.78 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 3.47 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 11.2 | |
| On target | 2 | 3.3 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 11.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 35% | 48.2% | |
| Passes | 340 | 425.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 82% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.9 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 11.3 |
Timeline
- 10' Yellow César Tárrega
- 11' VAR Kylian Mbappé
- 13' Pen miss Vinícius Júnior
- 15' Goal Mouctar Diakhaby league goal #2 assist André Almeida
- 22' VAR Mouctar Diakhaby
- 46' Yellow Umar Sadiq
- 50' Goal Vinícius Júnior league goal #11 assist Jude Bellingham
- 57' Sub Brahim Díaz → Rodrygo
- 59' Sub Umar Sadiq → Rafa Mir
- 74' Sub Javier Guerra → Pepelu
- 74' Sub Max Aarons → Hugo Duro
- 74' Sub André Almeida → Fran Pérez
- 77' Sub Fran García → Eduardo Camavinga
- 77' Sub Luka Modrić → Endrick
- 77' Sub Vinícius Júnior → David Alaba
- 85' Sub Lucas Vázquez → Arda Güler
- 90+4' Sub Enzo Barrenechea → Hugo Guillamón
- 90+5' Goal Hugo Duro league goal #8 assist Rafa Mir
- 90+8' Yellow Cristhian Mosquera
Category leaders
- Key passesJude Bellingham4
- Duels wonAurélien Tchouaméni9/10
- DribblesKylian Mbappé2/3
- Defensive actionsFederico Valverde8
- ShotsKylian Mbappé5 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonFederico Valverde3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.