Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 17 (8 on target) – 19 (3)
- Decisive moment: 13' Morgan Rogers, FN xPts +0.6
Morgan Rogers 13'
Donyell Malen 15'
Donyell Malen 15'
HT 2:0
Jota Silva 57'
Aston Villa 7th → 6th · 51 pts|Nottingham Forest 3rd · 57 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.03–1.48).
Player of the matchIan MaatsenDecisive moment13' Morgan Rogers+0.6
Player of the match
Ian Maatsen Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 77 min · level 13 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
- Jota Silva — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
13'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Youri Tielemans +0.2
+0.6
15'
Donyell Malen
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Ian Maatsen +0.1
+0.3
57'
Jota Silva
Goal · assist Neco Williams
+0.2
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.3Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
52%Possession48%
3.03Expected goals (xG)1.48
0.18xG per shot0.08
17Shots19
8Shots on target3
47%Shots on target %16%
13Shots in box10
429Passes389
85%Pass accuracy84%
4Corners4
2Saves6
7Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
0Offsides5
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
46 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 3.03 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.48 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 17 | 13.1 | |
| On target | 8 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.18 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 52% | 52.8% | |
| Passes | 429 | 456.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85.6% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.8 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 10.9 |
Nottingham Forest
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.48 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 3.03 | 1 | high |
| Shots | 19 | 13.1 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 13.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 48% | 41.3% | |
| Passes | 389 | 361.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 77.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 10.9 |
Timeline
- 13' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #8 assist Youri Tielemans
- 15' Goal Donyell Malen league goal #2 assist Ian Maatsen
- 46' Sub Andrés García → Ezri Konsa
- 46' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jota Silva
- 49' Yellow Morato
- 51' Yellow Marco Asensio
- 57' Goal Jota Silva league goal #3 assist Neco Williams
- 62' Sub Ollie Watkins → Marcus Rashford
- 62' Sub Donyell Malen → Jacob Ramsey
- 62' Sub Amadou Onana → Boubacar Kamara
- 73' Yellow Jota Silva
- 73' Sub Marco Asensio → John McGinn
- 74' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ramón Sosa
- 75' Sub Morato → Willy Boly
- 86' Yellow Emiliano Martínez
Category leaders
- Key passesCallum Hudson-Odoi6
- Duels wonMorgan Rogers9/19
- DribblesMorgan Rogers3/7
- Defensive actionsNicolás Domínguez6
- ShotsMarco Asensio3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonAmadou Onana3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.