Bayern 1-2 Inter: 20 shots, 2.3 xG, still beaten on 88'

AI-written review based on match data · How we make it

Bayern Munich lost 2-1 to Inter in the Champions League quarter-finals at the Allianz Arena. Lautaro Martínez put Inter ahead on 38', Thomas Müller levelled on 85', and Davide Frattesi struck the winner on 88', just three minutes later. Bayern trailed for about 49 minutes, were level for about 41 and never led, while Inter were in front for about 49. It was a match in which volume and outcome pointed in opposite directions.

The numbers favoured the hosts clearly. Bayern had 58% of the ball, 20 shots to 10 and seven shots on target to four, with expected goals of 2.3 against 0.78. Fifteen of their shots came from inside the box, but six were blocked and the average shot was worth only 0.12 xG. Inter's was worth 0.08. Bayern scored 1.3 fewer goals than their xG suggested; Inter scored 1.22 more than theirs.

For Inter, this was far from their usual profile. Over the previous five matches they averaged 2.2 xG, 17.8 shots, 59.6% possession and 6.2 corners. Here they managed 0.78 xG, 10 shots, 42% possession and one corner, each the lowest of those five games. The 20 shots and 2.3 xG they conceded were the highest of the same run. Goalkeeper Yann Sommer made six saves to keep the deficit at one.

The match turned in its final eight minutes. Müller's 85' equaliser carried an FN Points of +1.0, but Frattesi's 88' winner was worth +1.8, the largest of the match. Both scorers had been on the pitch for 16 minutes. Müller's goal was set up by Konrad Laimer, who led all players with six key passes; Carlos Augusto supplied Frattesi's. Bayern held the draw for only three minutes.