FSV Mainz 05 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 18 (7 on target) – 16 (4)
- Decisive moment: 89' Denis Vavro, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Denis Vavro 8.0Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
0-11-12-12-2
FSV Mainz 05 ahead 49 min · level 7 min · VfL Wolfsburg ahead 34 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
3'
Maximilian Arnold
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Kevin Paredes +0.2
+0.7
37'
Jae-sung Lee
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Nelson Weiper +0.2
+0.8
40'
Dominik Kohr
Goal
+0.9
89'
Denis Vavro
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Maximilian Arnold +0.3
+1.0
FSV Mainz 05
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −2.4Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1
VfL Wolfsburg
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
FSV Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
2.75Expected goals (xG)1.83
Compared with usual
FSV Mainz 05
31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2.75 | 1.3 | high |
| xG against | 1.83 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 18 | 11.9 | |
| On target | 7 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 14 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 52% | 49.5% | |
| Passes | 381 | 439.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77.1% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 12.3 | |
VfL Wolfsburg
33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.83 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2.75 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 16 | 13.1 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 13.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 48% | 46.9% | |
| Passes | 359 | 410.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77.8% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 11.1 | |
Timeline
- 3'
Goal
Maximilian Arnold league goal #3 assist Kevin Paredes
- 37'
Goal
Jae-sung Lee league goal #7 assist Nelson Weiper
- 40'
Goal
Dominik Kohr league goal #2
- 51'
Yellow
Dominik Kohr
- 63'
Sub
Patrick Wimmer → Mattias Svanberg
- 63'
Sub
Mohamed El Amine Amoura → Lukas Nmecha
- 63'
Sub
Kevin Paredes → Tiago Tomás
- 67'
Yellow
Nikolas Veratschnig
- 68'
Yellow
Tiago Tomás
- 74'
Sub
Jonas Wind → Jakub Kamiński
- 76'
Sub
Nelson Weiper → Hyun-Seok Hong
- 76'
Sub
Dominik Kohr → Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 85'
Sub
Mattias Svanberg → Lovro Majer
- 89'
Sub
Nikolas Veratschnig → Silvan Widmer
- 89'
Goal
Denis Vavro league goal #2 assist Maximilian Arnold
- 90'
Yellow
Joakim Mæhle
- 90+2'
Sub
Jae-sung Lee → Arnaud Nordin
- 90+3'
Yellow
Denis Vavro
Category leaders
- Key passesJonathan Burkardt4
- Duels wonKilian Fischer11/22
- DribblesNadiem Amiri5/9
- Defensive actionsDenis Vavro7
- ShotsJae-sung Lee3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonKilian Fischer3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.