Bundesliga · Matchweek 30
Benjamin Šeško 74' (pen)
HT 0:1
Shuto Machino 44'
Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 14:30 (UK) · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig · 49 pts|Holstein Kiel · 19 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 1.94–0.8.

Player of the matchNicolas Seiwald7.4Decisive moment74' Benjamin Šeško+1.0

RB Leipzig 1-1 Holstein Kiel

Key numbers

  • Possession 61% – 39%
  • Shots 10 (4 on target) – 14 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 74' Benjamin Šeško, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Nicolas Seiwald 7.4Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.4 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-1
RB Leipzig ahead 0 min · level 60 min · Holstein Kiel ahead 30 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

44' Shuto Machino Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Steven Skrzybski +0.2 +0.8
74' Benjamin Šeško Pen goal +1.0
RB Leipzig Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −1.5→ League points won 1
Holstein Kiel Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.2Time effect +0.9→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

RB LeipzigHolstein Kiel
61%Possession39%
1.94Expected goals (xG)0.8
0.19xG per shot0.06
10Shots14
4Shots on target3
40%Shots on target %21%
7Shots in box10
540Passes336
81%Pass accuracy73%
9Corners7
2Saves3
5Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
3Offsides0

Compared with usual

RB Leipzig

42 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded11.4
xG1.941.2
xG against0.81.4
Shots1013
On target44.7
Shots faced1414.4
xG per shot0.190.1
Possession61%51.7%
Passes540488
Pass accuracy81%82.5%
Corners94.8
Fouls511

Holstein Kiel

31 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.4
Conceded12.4
xG0.81
xG against1.941.6
Shots1411.1
On target34.2
Shots faced1016.1
xG per shot0.060.1
Possession39%45.9%
Passes336388.6
Pass accuracy73%77.3%
Corners73.6
Fouls912.1

Timeline

  • 28' Yellow Lasse Rosenboom
  • 41' Yellow Lukas Klostermann
  • 44' Goal Shuto Machino league goal #8 assist Steven Skrzybski
  • 46' Sub Kosta Nedeljković → Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 46' Sub Arthur Vermeeren → Amadou Haidara
  • 66' Sub David Zec → Carl Johansson
  • 67' Sub Péter Gulácsi → Maarten Vandevoordt
  • 67' Sub Steven Skrzybski → Magnus Knudsen
  • 74' Goal Benjamin Šeško (pen) league goal #12
  • 79' Sub Lasse Rosenboom → Finn Porath
  • 79' Sub Shuto Machino → Phil Harres
  • 87' Sub Alexander Bernhardsson → Jann-Fiete Arp
  • 90+3' Sub Loïs Openda → Yussuf Poulsen
  • 90+3' Sub Ridle Baku → Tidiam Gomis
  • 90+8' Yellow Jann-Fiete Arp

Category leaders

  • Key passesJohn Tolkin4
  • Duels wonCastello Lukeba12/17
  • DribblesCastello Lukeba4/7
  • Defensive actionsNicolas Seiwald5
  • ShotsChristoph Baumgartner4 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonLoïs Openda4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.