Premier League · Matchweek 33
Richarlison 87'
HT 0:2
Elliot Anderson 5'
Chris Wood 16'
Mon, 21 Apr 2025, 20:00 (UK) · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Tottenham 16th · 37 pts|Nottingham Forest 6th → 3rd · 60 pts

Tottenham edged xG (2.14–0.48) but Nottingham Forest took the win.

Player of the matchPedro Porro8.5Decisive moment5' Elliot Anderson+0.6

Tottenham 1-2 Nottingham Forest

Key numbers

  • Possession 70% – 30%
  • Shots 22 (6 on target) – 4 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 5' Elliot Anderson, FN xPts +0.6
Player of the match
Pedro Porro 8.5Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-2
Tottenham ahead 0 min · level 5 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 85 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

5' Elliot Anderson Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Nicolás Domínguez +0.2 +0.6
16' Chris Wood Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.2 +0.6
87' Richarlison Goal · assist Pedro Porro +0.2
Tottenham Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −0.3Time effect +1.1→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

TottenhamNottingham Forest
70%Possession30%
2.14Expected goals (xG)0.48
0.1xG per shot0.12
22Shots4
6Shots on target3
27%Shots on target %75%
16Shots in box1
520Passes241
88%Pass accuracy69%
7Corners1
1Saves4
11Fouls12
1Yellow cards4
0Offsides3

Compared with usual

Tottenham

51 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.9
Conceded21.4
xG2.141.4
xG against0.481.4
Shots2213.2
On target65.3
Shots faced413.8
xG per shot0.10.11
Possession70%55.5%
Passes520500.9
Pass accuracy88%85.2%
Corners76.5
Fouls1111.2

Nottingham Forest

37 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.5
Conceded11.1
xG0.481.1
xG against2.141.1
Shots413.2
On target34.6
Shots faced2213.6
xG per shot0.120.09
Possession30%41.5%
Passes241361.1
Pass accuracy69%77.8%
Corners14.6
Fouls1211

Timeline

  • 5' Goal Elliot Anderson league goal #2 assist Nicolás Domínguez
  • 11' VAR Chris Wood
  • 16' Goal Chris Wood league goal #19 assist Anthony Elanga
  • 42' Yellow Cristian Romero
  • 46' Sub Micky van de Ven → Ben Davies
  • 46' Sub Cristian Romero → Kevin Danso
  • 46' Sub Anthony Elanga → Morato
  • 58' Sub Danilo → Callum Hudson-Odoi
  • 58' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
  • 65' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
  • 67' Sub Wilson Odobert → Brennan Johnson
  • 67' Sub Dejan Kulusevski → Dominic Solanke
  • 76' Sub Chris Wood → Taiwo Awoniyi
  • 81' Sub Pape Matar Sarr → Lucas Bergvall
  • 87' Goal Richarlison league goal #4 assist Pedro Porro
  • 89' Yellow Ryan Yates
  • 90+2' Yellow Matz Sels
  • 90+3' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Ramón Sosa
  • 90+4' Yellow Harry Toffolo

Category leaders

  • Key passesPedro Porro7
  • Duels wonElliot Anderson12/17
  • DribblesPedro Porro2/6
  • Defensive actionsNeco Williams9
  • ShotsRicharlison7 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonElliot Anderson4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.