Manchester City 2-1 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 62% – 38%
- Shots 14 (6 on target) – 7 (3)
- Decisive moment: 90+4' Matheus Nunes, FN xPts +1.8
Player of the match
Bernardo Silva 7.7Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)
Game state
1-01-12-1
Manchester City ahead 11 min · level 79 min · Aston Villa ahead 0 min
- Jérémy Doku — off the bench 16 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
7'
Bernardo Silva
Goal
+0.5
18'
Marcus Rashford
Pen goal
+0.4
90+4'
Matheus Nunes
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Jérémy Doku +0.5
+1.8
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −1.0→ League points won 3
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.4Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Manchester CityAston Villa
1.09Expected goals (xG)1.68
Compared with usual
Manchester City
49 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.09 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.68 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 14 | 16.9 | |
| On target | 6 | 6.3 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 9.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 62% | 63% | |
| Passes | 478 | 611.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | |
| Corners | 10 | 7 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 7.6 | |
Aston Villa
51 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.68 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.09 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 7 | 13.6 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 11.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.24 | 0.1 | high |
| Possession | 38% | 51.9% | |
| Passes | 301 | 450 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 85.4% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.8 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.7 | |
Timeline
- 7'
Goal
Bernardo Silva league goal #3
- 16'
VAR
Jacob Ramsey
- 18'
Goal
Marcus Rashford (pen) league goal #2
- 35'
Yellow
Lucas Digne
- 50'
Yellow
Morgan Rogers
- 61'
Sub
Matty Cash → Axel Disasi
- 61'
Sub
Jacob Ramsey → John McGinn
- 70'
Yellow
Joško Gvardiol
- 74'
Sub
James McAtee → Jérémy Doku
- 76'
Sub
Marcus Rashford → Ollie Watkins
- 76'
Sub
Amadou Onana → Marco Asensio
- 77'
Yellow
Matheus Nunes
- 85'
Yellow
Ollie Watkins
- 86'
Yellow
Bernardo Silva
- 86'
Sub
Morgan Rogers → Donyell Malen
- 90+4'
Goal
Matheus Nunes league goal #1 assist Jérémy Doku
- 90+6'
Sub
Kevin De Bruyne → Manuel Akanji
Category leaders
- Key passesKevin De Bruyne6
- Duels wonJoško Gvardiol5/10
- DribblesOmar Marmoush2/4
- Defensive actionsJoško Gvardiol4
- ShotsMarcus Rashford4 (on target 2)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.